Prediction: Chunichi Dragons VS Saitama Seibu Lions 2025-06-13
The Chunichi Dragons are looking to bounce back from a 4-0 drubbing at the hands of the Rakuten Eagles, while the Saitama Seibu Lions are riding a 3-game winning streak, fresh off a 4-1 victory over the Hanshin Tigers.
The Dragons' last win came on April 29-May 1 against the Chunichi Dragons, but they've struggled of late, with their last two series resulting in consecutive losses. Their pitcher, Tsuruoka, expressed regret over his performance against the Rakuten Eagles, saying he's reflecting on the 6th inning home run that gave up. Manager Inoue echoed this sentiment, stating that if Tsuruoka had pitched like he did the previous day, he would have been the winning pitcher.
Meanwhile, the Seibu Lions are on a roll, with their pitcher Sugai earning his 5th win against the Hanshin Tigers. The Lions' offense has been clicking, with Nagase hitting a home run in the second inning and Hirano and Nishikawa adding two more runs in the fourth inning with consecutive home runs.
The odds are favoring the Lions, with most bookmakers listing them as the slight favorite, with prices ranging from 1.77 to 1.84 for the Lions and 1.9 to 2.02 for the Dragons. The spread is around 1.5 runs, with the Dragons favored by that margin.
The totals market suggests that the game will be a relatively low-scoring affair, with most bookmakers setting the over/under at 5.5 runs.
Considering the historical trends and win rates across different sports, the underdog win rate in baseball is around 41%. Given that the Dragons are on a 2-game losing streak and the Lions are on a 3-game winning streak, I'd recommend taking the Saitama Seibu Lions.
**Best Bet:** Saitama Seibu Lions ML at 1.83
**Secondary Bet:** Under 5.5 runs at 1.77
The Lions' recent form and the Dragons' struggles make them the likely victor. The under has a good chance of cashing, given the Lions' recent low-scoring affairs and the Dragons' tendency to struggle on the road.