Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays VS Houston Astros 2025-05-29

The battle for supremacy in the American League is about to get real, folks. The Tampa Bay Rays, with their scrappy underdog mentality, are looking to take down the mighty Houston Astros, who are riding high on their impressive 20-16 record as moneyline favorites. But let's not count out the Rays just yet - they've got a 50% win rate as underdogs, which is no small feat.

Now, let's talk about the pitching matchup. Ryan Gusto (3-2) is taking the mound for the Astros, while Shane Baz (4-3) is looking to lead the Rays to victory. Both pitchers have been solid this season, but I've got to give the edge to Gusto - the Astros' offense is ranked 16th in the league, averaging 4.2 runs per game, and I think they'll be able to get to Baz.

Isaac Paredes, the Astros' home run leader with 11 bombs, is looking to add to his tally, while Jonathan Aranda is hitting a scorching .315 for the Rays. But let's be real, folks - this game is all about the pitching.

The odds are looking good for the Astros, with a -121 moneyline favorite status. But I'm not convinced that the Rays are going to go down without a fight. In fact, I think the value lies in taking the Rays +1.5 runs, priced at around 1.47 across most bookmakers.

My best bet for this matchup? Take the Rays +1.5 runs. I think this game is going to be a close one, and the Rays' ability to compete as underdogs makes me think they can keep it within a run. Plus, at those odds, it's a steal. So, if you're looking to make some smart money, hop on the Rays' bandwagon and let's ride this underdog story to the bank.