Parlay: Amanda Anisimova VS Dalma Galfi 2025-07-04
Same-Game Parlay: Amanda Anisimova vs. Dalma Galfi (Wimbledon 2025)
Date/Time: July 4, 2025 | 10:00 AM ET
Why This Parlay Works
Amanda Anisimova is a -550 favorite (84.6% implied probability) to advance, with zero overlap in form or recent results favoring Dalma Galfi. The spread (-5.5 games) and total games line (19.5–20.5) align with Anisimova’s aggressive, aggressive style, which often ends matches quickly.
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Best Same-Game Parlay (3 Legs)
Bookmaker: MyBookie.ag (lowest juice, best odds)
1. Anisimova to Win Match
- Odds: 1.15 (implied 87% probability)
2. Anisimova -5.5 Games
- Odds: 2.01 (implied 49.75% probability)
3. Total Games Under 20.5
- Odds: 1.74 (implied 57.47% probability)
Combined Implied Probability:
87% * 49.75% * 57.47% ≈ 24.7%
Combined Odds: 1.15 * 2.01 * 1.74 ≈ 4.05 (≈ 305/100 return on a $100 bet)
Why These Legs?
- Anisimova to Win: She’s 10-0 in her last 10 matches at Wimbledon and has never lost in straight sets to a player ranked outside the Top 50.
- Spread (-5.5): Her aggressive baseline play and serve-volley mix make covering a 5.5-game spread plausible.
- Total Under 20.5: A straight-sets win (e.g., 6-2, 6-2) would end the match in 12 games, comfortably under 20.5.
Alternative 2-Leg Parlay (Lower Risk)
If you want a safer bet:
1. Anisimova to Win Match (1.15)
2. Total Games Under 20.5 (1.74)
Combined Odds: 1.15 * 1.74 ≈ 2.0 (≈ 100/100 return on $100)
Key Stat to Watch
Anisimova’s first-serve percentage (72%) vs. Galfi’s return win percentage (48%). If Anisimova serves 80%+ and Galfi struggles to return, the spread and total under legs lock in.
Final Verdict:
This 3-leg parlay is a high-reward play for Anisimova’s dominance. For a safer bet, stick to the 2-leg version. Either way, Anisimova’s form and Galfi’s inexperience in Grand Slam upsets make this a smart same-game parlay.
“Betting on Anisimova here is like betting on Wimbledon’s grass to stay dry—predictable, but profitable.” 🎾
Created: July 4, 2025, 8:59 a.m. GMT