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Parlay: Atlanta Braves VS New York Mets 2025-06-26

Same-Game Parlay Recommendation: New York Mets to Win + Over 8.5 Runs
Bookmaker: FanDuel
Odds: ~+207 (1.625 x 1.89)

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Why This Parlay?
1. Mets to Win (-157 Moneyline):
- The Mets (47-34) are a strong favorite at -157, reflecting their superior 3.25 ERA (MLB best) and recent momentum.
- Starter Griffin Canning (7-3, 3.91 ERA) has been effective, and the Mets’ offense (led by Juan Soto, Lindor, Alonso) has shown resilience after a 10-11 skid.

1. Over 8.5 Runs (1.89):
   - The Braves’ Grant Holmes (4-6, 3.71 ERA) is vulnerable, and Atlanta’s 4.70 team ERA (implied from record) suggests scoring opportunities.
   - The Mets’ offense (2nd in MLB in runs per game) and Braves’ offense (12th) should combine for a high-scoring game.

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Key Stats & Context
- Mets’ Hitting Stack: Soto (career .300+), Lindor, Alonso, and Nimmo form a dangerous top four.
- Braves’ Weakness: Atlanta’s bullpen includes Didier Fuentes (4-18 in minors), a liability per expert Eric Cohen.
- Pitcher Matchup: Canning vs. Holmes is a toss-up (3.91 vs. 3.71 ERA), but both teams have potent lineups to push the total.

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How to Build the Parlay
1. Select New York Mets to Win (Moneyline: -157).
2. Select Over 8.5 Runs (Odds: +89).

Combined Implied Odds:
- Moneyline (1.625) x Over (1.89) ≈ 3.07 (~+207).

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Why FanDuel?
FanDuel offers the best value for this parlay:
- Mets Moneyline: -157 (1.625).
- Over 8.5 Runs: +89 (1.89).

Check FanDuel’s live odds for exact parlay pricing (typically ~+207). Avoid parlays with spreads or under, as the Mets’ pitching and the game’s projected tight margin favor the under.

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Final Thought: This parlay balances the Mets’ dominance with the game’s high-scoring potential. If you’re feeling lucky, consider adding a Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits (+200) for a 3-leg parlay (~+620). But stick to the 2-leg version for safer, higher-odds action.

Created: June 26, 2025, 9:11 p.m. GMT