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Parlay: Atlanta Dream VS New York Liberty 2025-06-17

Best Same-Game Parlay for Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty (2025-06-17):

1. New York Liberty to Win (-8.5) + Over 163.5 Points
- Odds: 1.91 (Spread) * 1.95 (Over) = ~3.72 total implied odds
- Bookmaker: BetMGM (best line for Over at 1.95 with 163.5 total)
- Rationale:
- The Liberty are heavy favorites (-8.5) with a top-tier offense/defense (1st in WNBA).
- The game is projected to be high-scoring (Over 163.5 at +1.95), aligning with the article’s prediction of a "high-scoring" contest.
- Combining the spread and Over offers a balanced parlay with strong value.

2. New York Liberty to Win (ML) + Over 162 Points
- Odds: 1.27 (ML) * 1.95 (Over) = ~2.47 total implied odds
- Bookmaker: BetMGM (best ML price for Liberty at 1.27)
- Rationale:
- The Liberty’s 9-1 start and elite efficiency make them a safe ML pick.
- The Over 162 line is priced at +1.95 (BetMGM), slightly higher than other books.

3. Breanna Stewart Over 20.5 Points + New York to Win (-8.5)
- Odds: 1.91 (Stewart Over) * 1.91 (Spread) = ~3.65 total implied odds
- Bookmaker: FanDuel (best line for Stewart Over at +1.91)
- Rationale:
- Stewart is averaging 19.5 PPG and scored 24 in her last game; the Over 20.5 line is reasonable.
- Pairing with the Liberty’s spread (-8.5) adds value, as her scoring likely drives the team’s margin.

Key Stats to Watch:
- Liberty’s Defense: 1st in the WNBA in defensive rating (100.2 points allowed per game).
- Dream’s Offense: Allisha Gray (3rd in scoring at 21.0 PPG) vs. a Liberty defense that allows 98.3 PPG.
- Total Points: 162-163.5 (Over is priced at 1.91-1.95 across books).

Why This Parlay Works:
- The Liberty’s dominance (9-1) and the Dream’s inefficiency (Rhyne Howard at 35.8% FG) suggest a high-scoring, close contest.
- The Over is supported by both teams’ offensive firepower (Liberty 1st in offense; Dream 5th).
- Breanna Stewart’s scoring consistency (24 PPG) makes her Over 20.5 a strong prop.

Final Pick:
New York Liberty -8.5 + Over 163.5 Points at BetMGM (1.91 * 1.95 = +272 implied odds).
- Potential Payout: $100 bet = $272 profit if both legs hit.

Note: Check for live updates 1-2 hours before kickoff, as line movements may affect value.

Created: June 17, 2025, 7:49 p.m. GMT