Parlay: Baltimore Orioles VS New York Yankees 2025-06-22
Best Same Game Parlay: Yankees to Cover (-1.5) + Over 9.5 Runs
Odds: +251.5 (1.90 x 1.85)
Why This Works:
1. Yankees to Cover the Spread (-1.5):
- The Yankees are 40-26 when favored this season (2nd in MLB).
- Will Warren (4.83 ERA) vs. a Baltimore offense that ranks 26th in ERA (4.90) suggests New York’s offense (27 HRs from Aaron Judge alone) can handle the -1.5 line.
- Best odds: Fanatics (+190) for Yankees -1.5.
2. Over 9.5 Runs:
- Both teams rank in the top 15 in MLB in home runs (Yankees: 114 HRs, Orioles: 88 HRs).
- Combined, their games have gone Over 62 of 75 times (Yankees: 30 overs, Orioles: 32 overs).
- Best odds: BetOnline.ag (-110) for Over 9.5.
Parlay Payout Example:
- $100 bet = $251.50 profit (1.90 x 1.85 multiplier).
Key Matchup Insight:
The Yankees’ 27 HRs from Aaron Judge and the Orioles’ 88 HRs as a team create a high-scoring script. Kremer (4.80 ERA) vs. the Yankees’ 2nd-ranked offense (114 HRs) and Warren (4.83 ERA) vs. the Orioles’ 88 HRs make this a classic "boom or bust" game—ideal for the Over.
Avoid the Moneyline Alone:
While the Yankees are a -150 favorite, their 60.6% win rate as favorites is strong, but the spread and Over offer better value due to the high-scoring context.
Final Verdict:
This parlay balances the Yankees’ dominance at home with the explosive potential of both offenses. Take the Yankees -1.5 and Over 9.5 for a smart, data-driven play.
Created: June 22, 2025, 2:04 p.m. GMT