Parlay: Baltimore Orioles VS Tampa Bay Rays 2025-06-17
Best Same-Game Parlay: Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (+133) AND Under 9.5 Runs (-110)
Odds: +195 (approximate combined value)
### Why This Parlay?
1. Rays +1.5 Run Line (+133):
- The Rays have a 3.46 ERA (7th in MLB), suggesting strong pitching to keep games low-scoring.
- They’re 22-16 as moneyline favorites this season, including a 22-16 spread record.
- Best odds for Rays +1.5: +133 (FanDuel, BetRivers).
2. Under 9.5 Runs (-110):
- The Rays’ 7th-ranked ERA and the Orioles’ 42.9% underdog win rate (often in low-scoring games) make the under appealing.
- Best odds for Under 9.5: -110 (FanDuel, BetUS).
### Key Stats to Watch:
- Zack Littell (Rays): 6-6 record, but his 4.12 ERA vs. 4.83 FIP suggests potential for tighter control.
- Dean Kremer (Orioles): 5-7 with a 4.50 ERA, but his 5.40 FIP hints at regression.
- Power Hitters: Caminero (17 HRs) and O’Hearn (.310 BA) could threaten, but both teams’ pitching profiles favor the under.
### Why Not the Orioles?
- The Orioles are 30-40 overall and 12-16 as underdogs, with a 42.9% win rate in those games. However, their -1.5 run line (-500) is a steep ask against a Rays team that’s 16-12 in games they allow 4+ runs.
### Final Verdict:
This parlay balances value (Rays +1.5 at +133) and defensive reliability (Under 9.5 at -110). The Rays’ pitching and the Orioles’ underdog struggles make this a smart, low-risk combo.
Where to Bet: FanDuel offers the best combined odds for this parlay.
“The Rays’ ERA isn’t just good—it’s a velvet glove for a noose.” – Your Uncle Steve, who’s 7-2 in MLB parlays this month.
Created: June 17, 2025, 11:24 p.m. GMT