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Parlay: Baltimore Orioles VS Tampa Bay Rays 2025-06-19

Best Same-Game Parlay: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline + Under 9 Runs
Odds: ~3.11 (FanDuel) to 3.25 (DraftKings)

Why This Works:
1. Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline (-155):
- The Rays are a 7th-ranked pitching staff (3.44 ERA) and 10th-ranked offense (4.6 R/G).
- Starter Drew Rasmussen (2.55 ERA) is a clear advantage over Baltimore’s Charlie Morton (6.05 ERA).
- The Rays have won 59% of games this season as favorites.

1. Under 9 Runs (-105 to -110):
   - The Rays’ pitching staff (3.44 ERA) and the Orioles’ weak offense (24th in MLB in runs scored) suggest a low-scoring game.
   - Expected total: ~8.1 runs (Rays’ 4.6 R/G + Orioles’ 3.5 R/G).
   - The Under is priced at 1.83-1.95, reflecting strong value.

Key Stat:
- The Rays have held opponents to 3.44 runs per game, while the Orioles score just 3.5 R/G. This defensive-offensive mismatch makes the Under a logical choice.

Avoid Over/Under Combos with the Rays Moneyline?
- Over 9 Runs (1.87-1.98): While the Rays’ offense is strong, their pitching (3.44 ERA) and the Orioles’ offense (24th) likely cap the total. The Under is more defensible.

Final Verdict:
This parlay balances strong favorites (Rays) with a defensible Under line. The Rays’ dominance on both sides of the ball makes this a high-probability, value-packed bet.

Where to Bet:
- FanDuel offers the best odds for the Under (1.909) and Rays Moneyline (1.63).
- DraftKings also has competitive pricing (Under 9 at 1.94).

Payout Example (Bet $100):
- FanDuel: $100 x 3.11 = $311 profit.
- DraftKings: $100 x 3.25 = $325 profit.

Don’t Overcomplicate It:
The Rays are a 7th-ranked team facing a 26th-ranked pitching staff. Stick with the Moneyline + Under and avoid chasing the Over unless you’re a risk-taker.

Created: June 19, 2025, 3:11 a.m. GMT