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Parlay: Baltimore Orioles VS Texas Rangers 2025-07-02

Best Same Game Parlay: Texas Rangers Moneyline + Under 8.0 Runs
Bookmaker: BetMGM
Odds: Rangers ML (-250) + Under 8.0 (-200) = +242 (3.42 decimal)

Why This Parlay Works:
1. Rangers Moneyline (-250):
- Implied probability: 71.4% (250/(250+100)).
- The Rangers have a 65.9% win rate when favored, and their 3.29 ERA (MLB’s 9th-best) gives them a clear edge over the Orioles’ 4.93 ERA (28th). Nathan Eovaldi’s strong start (2.85 ERA in 2025) vs. Tomoyuki Sugano’s 4.50 ERA tilts the matchup further.

1. Under 8.0 Runs (-200):
   - Implied probability: 66.7% (200/(200+100)).
   - Both staffs are stingy: Rangers 3.29 ERA vs. Orioles 4.93 ERA. The Rangers’ offense ranks 24th in runs per game (3.8), while the Orioles’ ranks 28th (3.2). A combined 7-8 runs is likely.

Key Stats:
- Rangers’ pitching: 3.29 ERA (9th in MLB), 2.85 FIP.
- Orioles’ offense: 3.2 runs/game (28th), 4.93 ERA (28th).
- Eovaldi vs. Sugano: Eovaldi has a 2.85 ERA in 2025; Sugano’s 4.50 ERA is a major liability.

Risk Mitigation:
- The Rangers’ 65.9% win rate as favorites aligns with the moneyline’s implied probability.
- The Under has hit in 63% of Rangers’ games this season when their ERA is under 4.0.

Final Verdict:
This parlay combines value in both legs (Rangers’ dominance + low-scoring potential) and leverages BetMGM’s best odds. The implied combined probability is ~47.6%, but the payout of +242 (3.42) offers a solid edge.

Play it now at BetMGM — the Rangers’ pitching and the Orioles’ offensive struggles make this a high-confidence, high-reward combo.

Created: July 2, 2025, 9:48 a.m. GMT