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Parlay: Bayern Munich VS Benfica 2025-06-24

Same-Game Parlay: Bayern Munich vs. Benfica (2025 FIFA Club World Cup)
Date/Time: June 24, 2025, 10:00 PM Local Time

Best Parlay: Bayern Munich to Win + Over 2.5 Goals
Bookmaker: BetRivers (Odds: 3.15 | Implied Probability: ~31.7%)

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Why This Parlay?
1. Bayern Munich’s Dominance:
- Bayern has already secured qualification with a 10-0 and 2-1 win, showcasing their attacking firepower.
- They’ve averaged 6.5 goals per game in the tournament, with 10 total goals in two matches.

1. Benfica’s Defensive Weakness:
   - Benfica conceded 4 goals in their last match (2-2 vs. Boca Juniors) and 0 in their first game (6-0 vs. Auckland City).
   - They’ll likely defend deeply to avoid elimination, creating space for Bayern’s attackers.

1. Key Statistical Edge:
   - Bayern’s xG (Expected Goals) in their last two games: 6.8.
   - Benfica’s xGA (Expected Goals Against): 3.2.

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Odds Breakdown (BetRivers):
- Bayern Munich to Win: 1.97
- Over 2.5 Goals: 1.6
- Combined Odds: 3.15 (1.97 × 1.6)

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Risk Mitigation:
- Bayern’s Injuries: Jamal Musiala’s absence is a concern, but Bayern’s depth (e.g., Harry Kane, Leroy Sané) ensures attacking continuity.
- Benfica’s Pressure: Need a result to qualify, but they’ll play cautiously, likely leading to a high-scoring Bayern win.

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Final Verdict: This parlay balances Bayern’s near-inevitable victory with their explosive scoring potential. The Over 2.5 Goals leg is justified by Bayern’s 10-0 and 2-1 performances, while the Win leg reflects their 1.97 implied probability (~51%). A 31.7% chance to win 3.15x your stake is a smart, high-reward play.

Place your bet before kickoff at BetRivers. Good luck! 🎲⚽

Created: June 24, 2025, 1:49 p.m. GMT