Parlay: Belinda Bencic VS Mirra Andreeva 2025-07-09

Same-Game Parlay Pick: Mirra Andreeva to Win & Cover -3.5 Spread at BetRivers
Odds: +178.4 (2.784 decimal)

Why This Works:
1. Andreeva’s Dominance: The 18-year-old Russian has yet to drop a set at Wimbledon 2025, winning 72% of first-serve points. Her opponent, Belinda Bencic, has dropped two sets and survived a tiebreak in her last match.
2. Spread Value: Andreeva is a -3.5 favorite at -120 (54.55% implied probability), but her form suggests she’ll win comfortably.
3. Bookmaker Edge: BetRivers offers the best spread line for Andreeva (-3.5 at +192) and a strong moneyline (1.45). Combining these gives a 35.9% implied probability, which is well below her actual expected chance of covering.

Key Stats:
- Andreeva: 72% first-serve points won, 0 sets dropped in tournament.
- Bencic: 68% first-serve points won, but has dropped two sets en route.
- Head-to-Head: No prior meetings, but Andreeva’s serve and consistency edge out Bencic’s second-serve struggles.

How to Bet:
- Bookmaker: BetRivers
- Bets:
- Mirra Andreeva to Win (+145)
- Mirra Andreeva -3.5 Game Spread (+192)
- Combined Odds: +178.4 (2.784 decimal)

Rationale:
While the spread (-3.5) is aggressive, Andreeva’s flawless tournament run and Bencic’s recent struggles make this a high-reward parlay. The implied probability of the parlay (35.9%) is significantly lower than her actual likelihood of winning and covering, making it a smart value play.

Final Verdict:
"Mirra Andreeva is the real deal. BetRivers’ line gives you a shot at +178.4 if she wins and covers. This isn’t just a pick—it’s a certainty waiting to happen." 🎾🔥

All odds and stats current as of July 8, 2025.

Created: July 8, 2025, 10:52 p.m. GMT