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Parlay: Borussia Dortmund VS Real Madrid 2025-07-05

Same-Game Parlay: Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund (2025 FIFA Club World Cup QF)
Bookmaker: BetRivers
Odds: 2.76 (1.68 x 1.64)

Leg 1: Real Madrid to Win (-150)
- Implied Probability: 60% (150/(150+100))
- Why: Real Madrid is a 5-time Club World Cup champion and a 1.68 favorite here. Their recent 1-0 win over Juventus showcased their defensive resilience, and their historical edge (8-3-5 vs. Dortmund) adds confidence.

Leg 2: Under 3.5 Goals (-164)
- Implied Probability: 61.4% (100/(164+100))
- Why: Real Madrid’s defense has been rock-solid (0.33 goals conceded per game in the tournament), while Dortmund’s 2-1 win over Monterrey suggests they’re not a high-scoring team. The Under 3.5 line at -164 is a safer play given both teams’ tactical discipline.

Total Implied Probability of Parlay: 36.5%
- Combined Odds: 2.76 (1.68 x 1.64)
- Profit Potential: A $100 bet returns $276 if both legs hit.

Key Stats:
- Real Madrid: 16-3 in Club World Cup history, 5 titles.
- Dortmund: 1st Club World Cup appearance; 2-1 win over Monterrey.
- Head-to-Head: Real Madrid dominates 8-3-5.

Why This Works:
Real Madrid’s defensive structure and Dortmund’s lack of firepower make the Under 3.5 Goals a logical pairing. The Spanish giants’ tournament pedigree and recent form justify the win leg. Avoiding the draw (4.35 odds) and Over (2.3) lines minimizes risk.

Final Verdict: A smart, low-risk parlay for a high-reward outcome. Back the Under 3.5 Goals and Real Madrid to Win at BetRivers. 🏆⚽

Created: July 5, 2025, 7:04 p.m. GMT