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Parlay: Boston Red Sox VS Los Angeles Angels 2025-06-23

Same Game Parlay Pick: Boston Red Sox to Cover (-1.5) + Over 9.5 Runs
Odds: 4.70 (2.35 x 2.0)
Bookmaker: Bovada

Why This Parlay Works:
1. Boston to Cover (-1.5 Spread)
- The Red Sox are a strong offensive team (7th in MLB with 4.7 R/G) and have a 53.2% win rate when favored.
- Walker Buehler’s 5.95 ERA and the Angels’ 4.60 team ERA suggest a high-scoring game, increasing Boston’s chances to win outright or cover the spread.
- Best odds: +235 (2.35) at Bovada.

1. Over 9.5 Runs
   - Both teams have porous pitching: Buehler (5.95 ERA) vs. Kochanowicz (5.38 ERA).
   - The Angels lead MLB in HRs (113) and slug .418, while Boston’s .418 slugging % ranks 7th.
   - Bovada’s +200 (2.0) on the Over 9.5 is the best price, as most books list the total at 9.0.

Key Stats to Watch:
- Red Sox Offense: 7th in MLB in slugging (.418), 9th in HRs (97).
- Angels Power: 3rd in HRs (113), 4.1 R/G.
- Pitcher Matchup: Buehler (5.95 ERA, 53 Ks) vs. Kochanowicz (5.38 ERA, 1.61 K/BB ratio).

Risk Factors:
- Buehler’s control (1.61 BB/9) could lead to a rough outing.
- The Angels’ 4.60 ERA is the 24th-worst in MLB, but their 45.2% win rate as underdogs is solid.

Verdict: This parlay hinges on a high-scoring game where Boston’s offense outpaces LA’s weak pitching. The Over 9.5 and Red Sox spread coverage are both plausible, especially with the best odds at Bovada. Take the 4.70 combo! 🎯

Created: June 23, 2025, 4:51 a.m. GMT