Parlay: Botafogo VS Palmeiras 2025-06-28
Same-Game Parlay: Palmeiras vs Botafogo (2025 FIFA Club World Cup)
Bookmaker: Bovada
Bets:
1. Palmeiras -0.25 (Spread) @ 2.02
2. Under 2.0 Goals (Total) @ 1.98
Combined Odds: 4.0 (25% implied probability)
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### Why This Parlay?
- Palmeiras’ Edge: As Group A leaders, Palmeiras are slight favorites (-0.25) despite Botafogo’s recent dominance (2024 Brazilian/Libertadores titles). Botafogo’s historic 2024 run includes a continental win over Palmeiras, but the spread reflects their slight underdog status here.
- Low-Scoring Trend: The tournament’s knockout stage has seen tightly contested, low-scoring matches (e.g., Inter Miami vs Palmeiras likely to be a draw). Both teams’ defensive structures and the high-stakes nature of the World Club Championship favor an Under 2.0 goals line.
### Key Stats:
- Palmeiras: Won 2023 Brazilian title via a dramatic comeback.
- Botafogo: 2024 Brazilian/Libertadores champions, including a Libertadores final win over Palmeiras.
- Tournament Context: Botafogo’s coach Textor emphasized “recovered pride,” but Palmeiras’ group-stage form and home advantage (MetLife Stadium in NYC) tilt the spread.
Total Payout Example: A $100 bet returns $400 if both legs win.
Avoid: Combining Botafogo +0.25 with Over 2.0 (lower odds, higher risk).
Final Verdict: A smart, high-reward parlay for Palmeiras’ slight edge and a defensive stalemate.
Created: June 24, 2025, 11:28 p.m. GMT