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Parlay: Chicago Cubs VS Pittsburgh Pirates 2025-09-15

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: A Same-Game Parlay for the Ages
Where the Pirates’ pitching is a fortress, their offense is a sieve, and the Cubs are here to sprinkle some runs on the green.


Parse the Odds: A Tale of Two Halves
Let’s start with the cold, unfeeling numbers. The Chicago Cubs (85-64) are favored at -150 on the moneyline (implied probability: 60%), while the Pittsburgh Pirates (65-85) hang at +202 (implied: 33.3%). The spread is a tight -1.5 for the Cubs at -238, and the total runs line sits at 8.0, with Over/Under odds hovering around 1.90 (implied: ~52.5% for both).

Key stats? The Cubs’ offense is a caffeinated squirrel on a baseball field: 11 home runs in their last 10 games, a .236 team average, and Ian Happ swinging like he’s auditioning for a power-hitting TikTok trend. The Pirates? Their offense is a deflated whoopee cushion—.191 batting average, five HRs in 10 games, and Spencer Horwitz trying to single-handedly resurrect the team’s slugging percentage with his .296 clip.

But here’s the twist: Pittsburgh’s pitching staff is a 3.86 ERA fortress. Braxton Ashcraft, their starter, has a 2.47 ERA and 8.6 K/9 in his last six starts. Meanwhile, the Cubs’ Jameson Taillon is… well, he’s a competent starter who’s allowed four runs in his last three starts. This is a game where the pitchers could dominate, but the Cubs’ bats might erupt.


Digest the News: Injuries, Ineptitude, and a Former Circus Goalie
The Pirates’ recent story reads like a rejected Office cold open:
- They swept the Dodgers (a feat like a toddler building a sandcastle at high tide), then got swept by the Brewers (because karma is a vengeful ex).
- Their offense? A tragicomedy of one-run losses and extra-inning heartbreaks. They’re scoring 3.6 runs per game—worse than a toddler’s allowance.
- Bubba Chandler saved their bacon recently with a near-perfect game, but even he can’t out-pitch a bad offense.

The Cubs, meanwhile, are the Wild Card’s favorite uncle—fun, reliable, and always bringing the best dessert. They’ve beaten the Braves and Rays in clutch fashion, with Nico Hoerner hitting .410 in his last 10 games (because he’s part robot, part wizard).


Humorous Spin: The Pirates’ Offense is a Metaphor for Hope
Let’s be real: The Pirates’ offense is like a screen door in a hurricane—present, but useless. They’re scoring runs with the enthusiasm of a sleepwalker ordering a 20-slice pizza. Meanwhile, the Cubs’ lineup is a four-alarm fire—hot, dangerous, and likely to leave the Pirates’ pitching staff with third-degree burns.

Imagine this: Braxton Ashcraft throws a gem, allowing two hits and seven K’s. The Pirates’ offense responds by… going 0-for-5 with a pop fly to the shortstop’s glove. It’s like watching a Michelin-starred chef cook for a food critic who only eats with their eyes.


Prediction: The Parlay Play
Best Same-Game Parlay: Cubs -1.5 (+238) AND Over 8 Runs (-110).

Why?
1. Cubs -1.5: Their offense is a .236 average with Ian Happ and Hoerner swinging like they’re in a video game on “God Mode.” The Pirates’ pitching is solid, but the Cubs’ lineup has the pop to cover the spread.
2. Over 8 Runs: The Cubs’ bats are hot enough to melt a snowman in July. Even if Ashcraft pitches like a cyborg, the Cubs’ offense will likely crack 5 runs, and the Pirates’ pitching? They’ve allowed 6 HRs in their last 10 games. This game isn’t a shutout waiting to happen—it’s a slam dunk (baseball-style).

Implied Probability Check: Cubs -1.5 (68% implied) + Over 8 (53% implied) = 35.6% combined probability. At +238 for the parlay, the payout is ~3.38:1—a juicy reward for a logical combo.


Final Verdict
The Pirates’ pitching is a $5 bill in a world of Monopoly money, but their offense is a lemon squeezer in a jukebox factory. The Cubs, meanwhile, are the Wild Card’s golden child, and they’ll likely stomp the Pirates’ hopes like a cartoon character stomping a spider.

Bet: Cubs -1.5 AND Over 8 Runs.
Payout Potential: ~3.38x your stake.
Wisdom: Don’t bet on the Pirates unless you’re a masochist with a 21.54% chance of drafting Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in 2026.

Go Cubs! And go home, Pirates. 🐙⚾

Created: Sept. 15, 2025, 3:02 p.m. GMT