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Parlay: Chicago Cubs VS Pittsburgh Pirates 2025-09-17

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Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: A Same-Game Parlay for the Ages
Where the Pirates’ Offense Sleeps and the Cubs’ Run Line Wakes Up

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a game where the Chicago Cubs will likely play the role of a math teacher scolding a student who added 2 + 2 and got “meh.” The Cubs, fresh off a three-game winning streak, are favored (-150) to continue their dominance over the Pittsburgh Pirates, a team whose offense is about as threatening as a toddler with a training wheel. Let’s break this down with the precision of a spreadsheet and the humor of a Twitter thread written by a disgruntled fan.


Parsing the Odds: Why the Cubs Are the Obvious Choice
First, the numbers don’t lie (unless they’re the Pirates’ run totals). The Cubs have covered the first-five-innings run line in 83 of their last 147 games (+11.80 units returned). That’s like a coffee addict needing only the first sip to function—early dominance is their caffeine. Meanwhile, the Pirates’ offense ranks last in baseball in wOBA and averages a paltry 2.93 runs per game in September. Their hitters are so anemic, they’d make a salad look aggressive.

On the mound, Cubs’ lefty Matthew Boyd (13-8, 3.05 ERA, 7.7 K/9) faces a Pirates lineup that can’t spell “offense” without adding three extra letters. Boyd’s opponents hit .233 against him—imagine a pitcher so good he’s basically a human pop-up blocker for the opposition. The Pirates’ starter, Johan Oviedo, isn’t much better. His 2-0 record hides a 4.9 walks/9 stat line, which is code for “expect free base runners and a lot of hope.”


Same-Game Parlay: The Cubs’ Triple Threat
The article recommends a parlay of Cubs F5 -0.5 (-110), Cubs -1.5 (+110), and Under 8.0 (-115). Let’s dissect this like a hot dog at a baseball game:

  1. Cubs First Five Innings -0.5 (-110):
    The Cubs have trended toward early dominance, and Boyd’s strikeout rate (7.7 K/9) suggests he’ll keep the Pirates’ bats quiet. This leg is as safe as a vault in a library—low risk, high reward.

  1. Cubs -1.5 (+110):
    Taking the Cubs -1.5 runs is a nod to their 83/147 first-five-innings run-line success. With Boyd’s control and the Pirates’ feeble offense, this is like betting the Cubs will outscore a group of accountants at a dart tournament.

  1. Under 8.0 (-115):
    Both teams have trended toward the Under—Chicago in 52/92 games, Pittsburgh in 82/140. The combined total is set at 8, but with the Pirates averaging 2.93 runs and Boyd’s sub-4 ERA, this Under is as inevitable as a Netflix password reset.

Combined, this parlay offers +380 odds (depending on the book), turning a $100 bet into $380 if all three legs hit. It’s the sports betting equivalent of finding a $20 bill in your old jeans.


The News: Why the Pirates Should Pack Their Bags
- Cubs’ Momentum: A three-game win streak, fueled by a bullpen that’s tighter than a drumhead, suggests they’re in “win mode.”
- Pirates’ Offense: They’re so bad at scoring runs, their fans might start a GoFundMe to buy the team a light saber for dramatic effect.
- Injuries? None noted, but Oviedo’s 4.9 walks/9 is basically a guarantee of free base runners—think of it as a buffet for the opposition.


Prediction: Cubs Win, Pirates Lose (Surprise!)
The Cubs will pull ahead early, thanks to Boyd’s dominance and the Pirates’ offense taking a siesta. The final score? Something like 5-2 or 4-1—a game where the Pirates’ highlight reel consists of a fan catching a foul ball and pretending it counts for them.

Final Verdict: Take the Cubs same-game parlay (F5 -0.5, -1.5, Under 8.0). It’s the sports betting equivalent of a triple-scoop sundae with sprinkles: sweet, safe, and statistically sound. Unless the Pirates suddenly invent a time machine to steal Babe Ruth’s bat, this one’s a lock.

Bet with confidence, and remember: the Pirates’ offense is a mirage. Stay hydrated. 🚀

Created: Sept. 17, 2025, 3:12 p.m. GMT