Parlay: Chicago Sky VS Atlanta Dream 2025-06-22
Best Same-Game Parlay: Atlanta Dream to Win + Rhyne Howard Over 17.5 Points + Ariel Atkins Under 11.5 Points + Total Under 159.5 Points
Odds: ~6.94 (594% return on $100)
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### Why This Parlay Works
1. Atlanta Dream to Win (-16.5 Spread or Moneyline)
- Odds: 1.03 (FanDuel)
- The Dream are a 9-4 team with a 4-1 run and dominate the Sky’s weaknesses (turnovers, rebounding). The Sky’s -8.2 Net Rating and 18.3% turnover rate (1st in the league) make them vulnerable.
2. Rhyne Howard Over 17.5 Points
- Odds: 1.91 (FanDuel)
- Howard is 16.9 PPG this season and dropped 36 points in their last meeting. The Sky’s 11th-worst defensive efficiency (112.3 points per 100 possessions) against opposing guards gives her room to score.
3. Ariel Atkins Under 11.5 Points
- Odds: 1.91 (FanDuel)
- Atkins averages 12.6 PPG, but the Sky’s 14.5 turnover margin (2nd-worst) and poor free-throw shooting (74.3%) will force her into low-usage, high-turnover situations.
4. Total Under 159.5 Points
- Odds: 1.87 (BetMGM)
- The Dream’s 4th-best defensive rating (96.3) and Sky’s 13th-ranked offensive rating (99.7) suggest a low-scoring game. The Sky’s 18.3% turnover rate (highest in the WNBA) will further limit possessions.
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### Key Matchup Insights
- Rebounding Edge: The Dream’s Brionna Jones (9.2 RPG) and Brittney Griner (7.8 RPG) outmatch the Sky’s Angel Reese (10.1 RPG), who has failed to reach 11+ rebounds in 3/4 games.
- Turnover Battle: The Sky’s 18.3% turnover rate vs. the Dream’s 11.5% (4th-best) gives Atlanta a clear edge in transition and second-chance points.
- Recent Form: The Dream’s 4-1 run includes a 1-point win over Washington and a 36-point explosion from Howard, while the Sky have lost 2 straight and rank 25th in Net Rating.
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### Alternative Parlay Option (3-Leg, Higher Probability)
Atlanta Dream to Win (-16.5) + Rhyne Howard Over 17.5 + Ariel Atkins Under 11.5
Odds: ~3.8 (280% return on $100)
Safer but still profitable, cutting out the total line to reduce risk.
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Verdict: The 4-leg parlay is a high-reward, mid-risk play leveraging Atlanta’s dominance, Howard’s scoring potential, and Chicago’s systemic flaws. Stick with FanDuel or BetMGM for the best odds. 🏀🔥
Created: June 22, 2025, 5:35 p.m. GMT