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Parlay: Chicago White Sox VS Colorado Rockies 2025-07-04

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Chicago White Sox vs. Colorado Rockies Same-Game Parlay: Rockies +1.5 Run Line & Under 11 Runs
Bookmaker: BetOnline.ag
Odds: 1.69 (Rockies +1.5) x 1.95 (Under 11) = ~3.296 (3.30)

Why This Parlay Works:
1. Colorado Rockies +1.5 Run Line (1.69):
- The Rockies are massive underdogs but have a 1.558 WHIP, meaning they’re prone to giving up runs but not necessarily in bunches. Their 16 HRs from Hunter Goodman and 18 doubles from Jordan Beck suggest they can scratch out runs, but their 5.51 ERA indicates they’ll struggle to shut down the White Sox.
- The White Sox’s lowest slugging percentage (.343) and 66 HRs (MLB worst) make them a poor offensive matchup. Rockies +1.5 is a smart play if the game is low-scoring (e.g., 3-2 Rockies) or the White Sox fail to capitalize on their chances.

  1. Under 11 Runs (1.95):
    - Both teams are offensive disasters. The Rockies have the worst ERA (5.51) and WHIP (1.558), while the White Sox have the lowest slugging percentage and fewest HRs.
    - Adrian Houser (White Sox starter) has a 5.15 ERA this season, and Antonio Senzatela (Rockies starter) is a ground-ball pitcher with a 4.89 ERA. Expect a pitcher’s duel with minimal run support.

Implied Probability & Value:
- Rockies +1.5: 1/1.69 ≈ 59.17%
- Under 11 Runs: 1/1.95 ≈ 51.28%
- Combined Implied Probability: 59.17% x 51.28% ≈ 30.3%
- Parlay Odds: ~3.3 (1/0.303)

Why This is the Best Option:
- The Rockies’ +1.5 run line offers value against a weak White Sox offense.
- The under is a lock given both teams’ struggles.
- Combining these two legs at ~3.3 gives you ~30% chance to win a 329% return on a $100 bet.

Avoid Other Combinations:
- White Sox -1.5 & Under: Less value (White Sox are only -1.5 at 2.2, and their offense is too weak).
- Rockies Moneyline: Rockies are +2.04 to +2.11, but they’re unlikely to win outright.

Final Verdict:
This parlay is a high-value, low-risk play for Independence Day. The Rockies’ run line and the under are both defensible given the context, and the combined odds offer solid upside. Bet it at BetOnline.ag for the best line.

“It really takes a pretty bad team to lose so consistently,” said Chicago-based bettor Brad Bartel. “But when both teams are bad, the under is your friend.”

Created: July 4, 2025, 11:52 a.m. GMT