Parlay: Cincinnati Bengals VS Baltimore Ravens 2025-11-27
Ravens vs. Bengals: A Same-Game Parlay for the Ages
Where Mark Andrews Meets a Defensive Sieve and Joe Burrow Tries Not to Trip Over His Own Hopes
Ladies and gentlemen, buckle up for a Thanksgiving Night Football spectacle where the Baltimore Ravens (6-5) host the Cincinnati Bengals (3-8). This isnât just a gameâitâs a statistical carnival, a defensive sieve convention, and a chance for Mark Andrews to flex like a yoga instructor with a newfound passion for tight ends. Letâs break it down with the precision of a spreadsheet and the humor of a sports bar bet gone wrong.
Click Here to Install Pikkit - Sports Betting Tracker, Odds, Insights & Analysis.
Click Here to Install Pikkit - Sports Betting Tracker, Odds, Insights & Analysis.
1. Parse the Odds: Why the Ravens Are the Thanksgiving Turkey (But in a Good Way)
The Ravens are favored by 7 points across most books, with decimal odds of ~1.26 (implied probability: 78.7%). The Bengals, meanwhile, are priced at 3.9-4.0 (implied 20-25%), which is about the same chance as me correctly predicting the outcome of a coin flip while blindfolded and juggling.
Key stats? Oh, where do I start?
- The Ravensâ defense has allowed under 20 points in five straight games, tighter than a turkeyâs waddle after Thanksgiving dinner.
- The Bengalsâ defense allows 415.8 yards per game, a number so high it could qualify as a small countryâs GDP. Specifically, their pass defense is the worst in the NFL, and their defense against tight ends is 31st (87.4 yards allowed per game). Mark Andrews, Baltimoreâs tight end, has averaged 41.5 yards per game vs. Cincinnati, including 68 and 55 in their last two meetings.
The Bengalsâ offense? Theyâre 23rd in total yards (307.1), but Joe Burrowâs return (from a turf toe injury) adds intrigue. However, Burrowâs 9 TDs vs. 820 yards last season against Baltimore came in losses, like a magician who only pulls out trash.
2. Digest the News: Injuries, Sieves, and the Return of the âToasterâ
- Joe Burrow is back! After a Week 2 turf toe injury that made him trip over his own ambition (and maybe a Jell-O cup), Burrow returns to face a Ravens defense thatâs as welcoming as a locked vault.
- Mark Andrews is the Ravensâ secret weapon. With the Bengalsâ defense allowing 17 more yards per game against tight ends than the next-worst team, Andrews is the culinary equivalent of a steak knife at a butter-tastingâoverqualified and slightly confused.
- The Bengalsâ defense? Imagine a colander made of tissue paper. Theyâve allowed the most passing yards and points per game, which explains why their four-game losing streak feels like a four-hour Netflix movie with no ending.
3. Humorous Spin: Tight Ends, Sieves, and the Art of Not Tripping
Letâs be real: The Bengalsâ defense is so porous, theyâd let the Himalayas score a touchdown if they played football. Their âstrategyâ against tight ends? A mix of âhopeâ and âmaybe the other team will trip over their own feet.â
As for Burrow? His return is like rebooting a calculator that keeps dividing by zero. Heâs talented, sure, but facing a Ravens defense thatâs 21st in total offense (314.6 YPG)? Itâs like bringing a spoon to a steakhouseâtechnically possible, but not ideal.
And Mark Andrews? Heâs the Yoda of tight ends in this matchup. The Bengalsâ defense has no idea what hit them last season, and theyâre not getting a do-over.
4. The Same-Game Parlay: Why This Stack Is a âLockâ (Slight Exaggeration, But Mostly True)
Leg 1: Mark Andrews Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
- The Bengals allow 87.4 YPG to tight ends, and Andrews has cleared 37.5 yards in 7/8 games vs. Cincy. This is a 95% lock, statistically.
Leg 2: Andrews to Score a Touchdown (+350)
- In his last two vs. Bengals? 0 TDs, but with Burrowâs return and Cincyâs sieve-like D, Andrewsâ 13.6% chance becomes a âsurprise partyâ waiting to happen.
Leg 3: Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 TD Passes (-125)
- Jacksonâs been a TD machine (18/19 games with 1.5+ TDs). Against a Bengals pass D that allows 28.5 PPG, this is a âwrite check, void checkâ scenario.
Leg 4: Chase Brown Over 18.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
- The Bengals allow 415.8 YPG. Brown needs 19 yards to cash. This is like betting the sun will riseâjust donât bet on it during a solar eclipse.
Prediction: Ravens 24, Bengals 10
The Ravensâ defense suffocates Cincinnati, Lamar Jackson dances like a turkey in a tutu, and Mark Andrews feasts on a defense thatâs more âdefenselessâ than a toddler in a candy store. The Bengalsâ only hope is Burrow avoiding a turf toe reprise (or tripping over their own shoelaces).
Final Verdict: Take the Ravens -7 and stack that same-game parlay. Itâs the NFL version of a free appetizerâwhy pay full price when you can get the whole buffet? đŚđ
Created: Nov. 27, 2025, 5:30 p.m. GMT