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Parlay: Clara Tauson VS Iga Swiatek 2025-07-07

Same Game Parlay: Iga Swiatek vs. Clara Tauson (Wimbledon 2025)
Bookmaker: LowVig.ag
Odds: +266 (3.66 decimal)

Legs of the Parlay
1. Iga Swiatek to Cover the Spread (-4.5)
- Odds: +100 (2.00 decimal)
- Rationale: Swiatek is a dominant favorite (-4.5) with a 14-5 Wimbledon record and has dropped only one set this tournament. Her aggressive baseline play and serve-and-volley potential on grass make her a strong pick to win comfortably.

1. Under 21.5 Total Games
   - Odds: +83 (1.83 decimal)
   - Rationale: Swiatek’s efficiency and Tauson’s defensive style (ranked 23rd) suggest a low-scoring match. Swiatek’s 6-2, 6-3 third-round win over Collins (a top-20 player) averaged just 20 games per set. Tauson’s 3-3 Wimbledon record also hints at a lack of depth in long rallies.

Why This Parlay Works
- Swiatek’s Dominance: She’s 7-0 against unseeded players this year and has a 100% win rate in Grand Slams.
- Tauson’s Weaknesses: Tauson’s 27-11 record includes 0-3 at Wimbledon, and her only title (Auckland) came on hard courts.
- Statistical Edge: The implied probability of this parlay is ~27.3% (1 / 3.66), which aligns with Swiatek’s ~60% implied win probability (from -150 odds) and the Under 21.5’s ~54.6% chance (from +83 odds).

Key Stats
- Swiatek’s Wimbledon Record: 14-5 (2025: 3-0).
- Tauson’s Wimbledon Record: 3-3 (2025: 2-0).
- Head-to-Head: Swiatek leads 2-0.
- Swiatek’s Serve: 68% first-serve percentage, 75% first-serve points won this tournament.

Verdict: This parlay leverages Swiatek’s dominance and Tauson’s lack of depth. If you’re betting $100, a win nets $266 profit. Avoid overcomplicating with three-leg parlays—stick to the two strongest legs.

Final Tip: Place this parlay at LowVig.ag for the best odds. The spread and total lines are tightly priced, but Swiatek’s form and Tauson’s limitations make this a high-conviction play.

Created: July 7, 2025, 3:34 a.m. GMT