Parlay: Cleveland Guardians VS Chicago Cubs 2025-07-02
Same Game Parlay: Chicago Cubs Moneyline + Under 7.5 Runs
Bookmaker: DraftKings (Cubs ML: 1.61, Under 7.5: 1.94)
Combined Odds: 3.12 (1.61 x 1.94)
Implied Probability: ~31.7%
### Why This Parlay?
1. Cubs Moneyline (1.61):
- The Cubs are a 62.1% implied favorite (1.61 decimal odds) and have a 68.4% win rate as favorites this season.
- Their pitching staff (Shota Imanaga, 2.54 ERA; Matthew Boyd, 4.12 ERA) faces a Guardians lineup that’s struggling offensively (16th in MLB in slugging percentage, .389).
- The Guardians are coming off a 3-game sweep loss to the Cardinals, with key injuries to their bullpen (Andrew Walters, Ben Lively) and infielder Gabriel Arias.
2. Under 7.5 Runs (1.94):
- The Cubs rank 10th in MLB in ERA (3.85) and have allowed the 2nd-fewest home runs (52) this season.
- The Guardians’ offense is 15th in MLB in runs per game (4.1) and has been outscored in 11 of their last 15 games.
- With both teams dealing with injuries and the Cubs’ strong defense, a low-scoring game is plausible.
### Key Matchup Analysis
- Cubs’ Offense vs. Guardians’ Pitching: The Cubs’ .446 slugging percentage (3rd in MLB) is formidable, but the Guardians’ pitching (3.80 team ERA) should limit damage.
- Guardians’ Offense vs. Cubs’ Pitching: Cleveland’s .302 team batting average (26th in MLB) and lack of consistent power (13th in HRs) make them unlikely to score in bunches.
### Risks to Consider
- Cubs’ Recent Struggles: Chicago has lost 6 of 10 games, including a 1-6 road trip.
- Guardians’ Bullpen Issues: Cleveland’s bullpen has a 4.75 ERA over their last 10 games, but this plays into the Under.
### Final Verdict
This parlay capitalizes on the Cubs’ dominance as favorites and the Guardians’ offensive woes. The 3.12 combined odds offer a compelling return for a game where both teams are likely to keep runs in check.
Bet: Chicago Cubs Moneyline (-150) + Under 7.5 Runs (1.94)
Total Stake: $100 → Potential Payout: $312
Created: July 2, 2025, 9:50 a.m. GMT