Create Parlays

Parlay: Colorado Rockies VS Boston Red Sox 2025-07-08

Same Game Parlay: Boston Red Sox to Win & Total Over 9 Runs
Bookmaker: LowVig.ag
Odds: +181 (2.81)

Breakdown:
1. Boston Red Sox Moneyline (-239)
- Implied Probability: ~63.4%
- The Red Sox are a strong favorite (46-45) with a high-scoring offense (4.9 R/G). They’ve won 4 of their last 5 games, including a 9-3 blowout of the Rockies. Starter Brayan Bello (5.2 IP, 2 ER in last start) faces a Rockies lineup that averages just 3.6 R/G.

1. Total Over 9 Runs (-105)
   - Implied Probability: ~50.5%
   - The Rockies’ pitching staff (5.38 ERA) struggles to contain Boston’s offense. Red Sox hitters like Ceddanne Rafaela (3 HRs in 2 games) and Roman Anthony (2 HRs) have shown power. The Rockies’ starter, Kyle Freeland (5.78 ERA), has allowed 4+ runs in 5 of his last 6 starts.

Why This Parlay Works:
- Value: The combined implied probability is ~32% (1/(1.42 * 1.98)), but the actual chance is higher given Boston’s offensive firepower and Colorado’s pitching woes.
- Bookmaker Edge: LowVig.ag offers the best combined odds (+181) for this pairing.
- Risk Mitigation: The Red Sox’s +1.5 spread (-150) is a safer alternative, but the Over 9 total adds value due to Colorado’s porous defense.

Key Stat: Boston’s offense has hit 10+ runs in 12 of their last 20 games, while the Rockies have allowed 5+ runs in 14 of their last 18.

Final Verdict: A smart, high-reward parlay for Red Sox dominance and a high-scoring game.

Created: July 8, 2025, 1:14 p.m. GMT