Parlay: Connecticut Sun VS Las Vegas Aces 2025-06-25

Same-Game Parlay: Las Vegas Aces Cover the Spread (-19.0) + Under 160.0 Total
Bookmaker: FanDuel
Odds: 3.71 (1.94 x 1.91)

Why This Works:
1. Aces Cover the Spread (-19.0): The Aces are a dominant team with A'ja Wilson (24 PPG in her last game) and a strong defense. Despite their recent 5-7 slump, they’re favored (-19.0) due to the Sun’s injuries (Mabrey, Lacan out) and the Sun’s 2-12 record. The Aces’ last win over the Sun was by 25 points (87-62), suggesting they can easily cover this spread.
2. Under 160.0 Total: The Sun rank last in the league in scoring (48.3 PPG) and lack key contributors. The Aces’ defense (10th in points allowed) and the Sun’s offensive struggles (2nd-worst FG%) make a low-scoring game likely. The Aces’ 159.5 total line is tight, but a 160.0 under is a safer play given the Sun’s inefficiency.

Rationale:
- The Aces’ offense (112.3 PPG) and defense (94.1 PPG allowed) suggest they’ll control this game.
- The Sun’s starting five (Hartley, Sheldon, Rivers, Morrow, Charles) lacks depth and scoring punch.
- Aces’ injuries (Gustafson, Parker-Tyus) are less impactful than the Sun’s, giving them a clear edge.

Risk Mitigation:
- The spread (-19.0) is aggressive, but the Aces’ recent performance (24-point win in the last meeting) and the Sun’s injuries justify confidence.
- The under on the total hinges on the Sun’s offense sputtering and the Aces’ defense limiting scoring.

Payout Example: A $100 parlay returns $371 (3.71 odds).

Final Verdict: This parlay balances the Aces’ dominance with the Sun’s struggles, offering a high-reward play with solid value.

Created: June 25, 2025, 6:12 p.m. GMT