Parlay: Daniil Medvedev VS Benjamin Bonzi 2025-06-30
Same-Game Parlay: Daniil Medvedev vs. Benjamin Bonzi (Wimbledon 2025)
Bookmaker: BetMGM
Odds: 2.12 (1.22 x 1.74)
Leg 1: Medvedev to Win (Moneyline)
- Odds: 1.22
- Why: Medvedev is a 9th seed and 9-1 favorite, with a strong grass-court resume (semifinalist in 2023/24). Bonzi, ranked outside the top 50, lacks the consistency to challenge a top-10 player on grass.
Leg 2: Under 44.5 Total Games
- Odds: 1.74
- Why: Medvedev’s aggressive serve-and-volley style on grass typically limits long rallies. Bonzi, a baseline grinder, may struggle to extend points against Medvedev’s precision. A straight-sets win (e.g., 6-3, 6-4, 6-3) would yield ~35 games, comfortably under 44.5.
Key Context
- Medvedev’s Form: Despite a down season on other surfaces, he’s a Wimbledon semifinalist in two of the last three years and thrives on grass.
- Bonzi’s Ceiling: No top-50 player has defeated a top-10 seed at Wimbledon since 2022.
- Bookmaker Edge: BetMGM offers the best combined value for this parlay (2.12) compared to DraftKings (1.95) or Bovada (2.09).
Verdict: A "sure thing" for Medvedev, but the Under total adds value. BetMGM’s line is the most profitable combo. Play it at BetMGM.
“Medvedev’s grass-court magic meets Bonzi’s ceiling in a parlay that’s as safe as a Wimbledon rain delay.” 🎾🌧️
Created: June 30, 2025, 11:59 a.m. GMT