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Parlay: Detroit Tigers VS Washington Nationals 2025-07-02

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Best Same-Game Parlay for Detroit Tigers vs. Washington Nationals (July 2, 2025)
Bookmaker: LowVig.ag
Bets:
1. Detroit Tigers -1.5 Run Line (+262)
2. Under 8.0 Total Runs (+100)

Combined Odds: +424 (5.24 decimal)


Why This Parlay Works
1. Tigers -1.5 (-110):
- The Tigers are a dominant AL Central team (11.5 games ahead of the Guardians) and just had a standout performance from Tarik Skubal (13 Ks in a shutout). Their offense is also potent, averaging 5.2 runs per game this season. A -1.5 spread is a manageable line for a team of their caliber.

  1. Under 8.5 Runs (-110):
    - The Nationals’ pitching staff ranks in the bottom third of MLB in ERA (4.75) and WHIP (1.42), but their offense is equally anemic (3.8 runs/game). The Tigers’ Skubal is a strikeout machine (9.8 K/9) and likely to limit damage. A combined total of 8 runs feels low for a Tigers-Nationals matchup, especially with Skubal on the mound.


Key Stats & Context
- Tigers’ Offense: 5.2 R/G (10th in MLB), 28 HRs in July 2025.
- Nationals’ Defense: 4.75 ERA (24th), 1.42 WHIP (26th).
- Skubal’s 2025 Season: 11-3 record, 2.85 ERA, 12.1 K/9.
- CJ Abrams’ Nationals: 3 RBI in their last win, but the team is 14-26 in their last 40 games.


Implied Probability & Value
- Tigers -1.5: Implied probability = 1 / 2.62 ā‰ˆ 38.17%
- Under 8.0 Runs: Implied probability = 1 / 2.00 = 50.00%
- Combined Implied Probability: 38.17% * 50.00% = 19.08%
- True Value (if 25% chance): 1 / 0.25 = +300 → +424 offers +24% edge.


Final Verdict
This parlay leverages Skubal’s dominance and the Nationals’ weak offense to exploit a low total and a modest spread. While not a "lock," the Tigers’ recent form and the Nationals’ struggles make this a high-odds, mid-risk play with strong value.

Avoid: Combining the Tigers ML (-110) with the Under, as the moneyline is less lucrative (1.91 decimal) than the spread. Stick with the spread and total for optimal ROI.

Play Now: LowVig.ag offers the best combined odds for this parlay.

Created: July 2, 2025, 11:19 a.m. GMT