Parlay: Detroit Tigers VS Washington Nationals 2025-07-02
Best Same-Game Parlay for Detroit Tigers vs. Washington Nationals (July 2, 2025)
Bookmaker: LowVig.ag
Bets:
1. Detroit Tigers -1.5 Run Line (+262)
2. Under 8.0 Total Runs (+100)
Combined Odds: +424 (5.24 decimal)
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Why This Parlay Works
1. Tigers -1.5 (-110):
- The Tigers are a dominant AL Central team (11.5 games ahead of the Guardians) and just had a standout performance from Tarik Skubal (13 Ks in a shutout). Their offense is also potent, averaging 5.2 runs per game this season. A -1.5 spread is a manageable line for a team of their caliber.
- Under 8.5 Runs (-110):
- The Nationalsā pitching staff ranks in the bottom third of MLB in ERA (4.75) and WHIP (1.42), but their offense is equally anemic (3.8 runs/game). The Tigersā Skubal is a strikeout machine (9.8 K/9) and likely to limit damage. A combined total of 8 runs feels low for a Tigers-Nationals matchup, especially with Skubal on the mound.
Key Stats & Context
- Tigersā Offense: 5.2 R/G (10th in MLB), 28 HRs in July 2025.
- Nationalsā Defense: 4.75 ERA (24th), 1.42 WHIP (26th).
- Skubalās 2025 Season: 11-3 record, 2.85 ERA, 12.1 K/9.
- CJ Abramsā Nationals: 3 RBI in their last win, but the team is 14-26 in their last 40 games.
Implied Probability & Value
- Tigers -1.5: Implied probability = 1 / 2.62 ā 38.17%
- Under 8.0 Runs: Implied probability = 1 / 2.00 = 50.00%
- Combined Implied Probability: 38.17% * 50.00% = 19.08%
- True Value (if 25% chance): 1 / 0.25 = +300 ā +424 offers +24% edge.
Final Verdict
This parlay leverages Skubalās dominance and the Nationalsā weak offense to exploit a low total and a modest spread. While not a "lock," the Tigersā recent form and the Nationalsā struggles make this a high-odds, mid-risk play with strong value.
Avoid: Combining the Tigers ML (-110) with the Under, as the moneyline is less lucrative (1.91 decimal) than the spread. Stick with the spread and total for optimal ROI.
Play Now: LowVig.ag offers the best combined odds for this parlay.
Created: July 2, 2025, 11:19 a.m. GMT