Parlay: Emma Navarro VS Mirra Andreeva 2025-07-07
Same-Game Parlay: Mirra Andreeva vs. Emma Navarro (Wimbledon 2025)
Date: July 7, 2025 | Time: 10:30 AM ET
Best Parlay: Andreeva -2.5 Sets & Under 21.5 Games
Bookmaker: BetMGM
Odds:
- Andreeva -2.5 Sets @ 1.80
- Under 21.5 Games @ 1.91
Total Implied Probability: ~29.07% (Combined Odds: 3.44)
Why This Parlay?
1. Andreeva’s Dominance:
- The 18-year-old has won all 3 matches at Wimbledon in straight sets, including 6-2, 6-2 against Navarro in their only prior meeting (Cincinnati 2024).
- Her 71% first-serve points won and 56% second-serve points make her a serve-and-volley threat on grass.
- Navarro’s Weaknesses:
- Despite a 7-3 grass record, Navarro’s 63% first-serve points and 53% second-serve points pale in comparison to Andreeva’s efficiency.
- She’s dropped 11 of 12 matches against top-10 players on grass since 2024.
- Set Spread Value:
- Andreeva is a -2.5 set favorite, meaning she must win by 2+ sets (e.g., 6-2, 6-2). Her 3-0 straight-set Wimbledon run suggests this is plausible.
- Under 21.5 Games Logic:
- A 21.5 total implies a short, aggressive match. If Andreeva wins in straight sets (e.g., 6-2, 6-2 = 20 games), the Under hits. Her serve dominance and Navarro’s 3.5-point spread (-3.5) at other books hint at a quick contest.
Key Stats to Watch
- Andreeva’s Serve: 71% first-serve points, 56% second-serve points.
- Navarro’s Serve: 63% first-serve points, 53% second-serve points.
- Head-to-Head: Andreeva leads 1-0 (Cincinnati 2024).
- Grass Form: Andreeva is 3-0 in straight sets at Wimbledon 2025; Navarro is 7-3 on grass but has yet to face a top-10 player here.
Final Prediction
Andreeva in 3 Sets (6-2, 6-2):
- Set Spread: -2.5 (Covered)
- Total Games: 20 (Under 21.5)
Parlay Payout: +244 (3.44) if both legs hit.
Note: This parlay requires both legs to win. If you’re risk-averse, consider the Andreeva Moneyline + Under 21.5 combo at DraftKings (1.57 x 1.91 = +194). But the spread + total offers better value.
“Andreeva’s grass-court magic and Navarro’s serve vulnerability make this parlay a high-reward play. If the teen sensation keeps serving like a Wimbledon queen, this combo could be your ticket to a 3.44x payout.” 🎾👑
Created: July 7, 2025, 3:33 a.m. GMT