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Parlay: Golden State Valkyries VS Atlanta Dream 2025-07-07

Same Game Parlay: Atlanta Dream Win + Total Over 157.5 Points
Bookmaker: BetOnline.ag (Best Odds)
Odds: Atlanta Dream Moneyline (1.32) + Total Over (1.93) = 2.54 (Implied Probability: ~39.37%)

Why This Parlay?
1. Atlanta Dream to Win (Moneyline):
- The Dream are a 7-3 at home and 11-7 overall, with a strong backcourt led by Jordin Canada (4.5 APG, O/U over in 3 straight games).
- The Valkyries’ 2-5 road record and second-ranked defense (per stats) may force Atlanta’s guards into open looks, exploiting Golden State’s focus on containing Griner/Jones.
- Best odds: 1.32 at BetOnline.ag.

1. Total Over 157.5 Points:
   - Despite Golden State’s defense, Atlanta’s guards (Canada, Kayla Thornton) and the Valkyries’ hot-shooting (Tiffany Hayes’ 5 threes last game) suggest a high-scoring affair.
   - The Valkyries’ regression in 3PT shooting (Hayes’ 1.5 3PTs expected) is offset by Atlanta’s offensive efficiency.
   - Best odds: 1.93 at BetOnline.ag for Over 158.0 points.

Key Stats:
- Atlanta’s home record (7-3) vs. Golden State’s road struggles (2-5).
- Jordin Canada’s 4.5 APG and recent O/U dominance.
- Valkyries’ 2nd-ranked defense vs. Dream’s 11th-ranked offense (WNBA).

Risk Mitigation:
- Avoids the spread (Atlanta -7.5 is riskier due to Valkyries’ defense).
- Combines a low-risk moneyline (1.32) with a moderate Over (1.93), balancing value and probability.

Final Implied Probability: ~39.37% (1 / 2.54).
Potential Payout: $254 for a $100 bet.

Play this parlay if you believe Atlanta’s guards will exploit Golden State’s defensive focus on Griner/Jones and the game will stay above 157.5 points.

Created: July 7, 2025, 10:22 p.m. GMT