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Parlay: Guatemala VS Guadeloupe 2025-06-24

Same Game Parlay: Guadeloupe vs. Guatemala (2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup)
Date/Time: June 24, 2025 | 11:00 PM ET (Home: Guadeloupe)

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Best Parlay: Draw + Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 6.586 (14.4% implied probability)
Bookmaker: BetRivers
- Draw (3.7)
- Under 2.5 Goals (1.78)

Why This Combo?
1. Draw (3.7):
- Historical context: Guatemala’s 3-2 comeback win over Guadeloupe in 2023 and Guadeloupe’s recent 1-0 loss to Panama suggest tight, low-scoring matches.
- Manager Jocelyn Angloma has not lost three straight since 2021, and Guatemala’s Luis Fernando Tena has only two losses in final group games.
- Prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw, aligning with the "Draw" pick.

1. Under 2.5 Goals (1.78):
   - Both teams have defensive tendencies: Guadeloupe’s last two Gold Cup games ended 1-0 and 1-0, while Guatemala’s 1-0 win over Jamaica and 2-0 loss to Panama highlight low-scoring trends.
   - Bookmakers favor the Under (1.78–1.82) over the Over (2.0–2.02), reflecting cautious expectations.

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Alternative Parlay: Guatemala Win + Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 3.996 (25% implied probability)
Bookmaker: DraftKings
- Guatemala Win (2.2)
- Under 2.5 Goals (1.82)

Why This Combo?
- Guatemala’s Edge: They’ve won 3 of 4 recent Gold Cup group games vs. Caribbean teams and are -0.25 favorites.
- Defensive Matchup: A 1-0 or 2-1 result fits the Under, leveraging Guatemala’s 1-0 win over Jamaica and Guadeloupe’s 1-0 loss to Panama.

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Key Stats to Watch
- Guadeloupe’s Struggles: Lost last two Gold Cup games after netting the opener (2023 vs. Panama, 2025 vs. Jamaica).
- Guatemala’s Comebacks: 3-2 win over Guadeloupe in 2023; 1-0 win over Jamaica in 2025.
- Group Implications: A Guadeloupe win + Jamaica loss would advance them, but this parlay focuses on in-game value, not tournament math.

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Verdict:
The Draw + Under 2.5 Goals parlay at BetRivers (6.586) is the most lucrative and aligns with the prediction of a 1-1 stalemate. If you’re more confident in Guatemala’s edge, the Guatemala Win + Under combo at DraftKings (3.996) offers safer, lower-risk value.

Play it like a pro: Bet the Draw/Under if you trust the chaos. Bet the Guatemala/Under if you’re a realist. 🏆

Created: June 22, 2025, 10:48 p.m. GMT