Parlay: Hanshin Tigers VS Yokohama DeNA BayStars 2025-07-04
Same Game Parlay Pick: Hanshin Tigers Cover (-1.5) + Total Over 5.5 Runs
Bookmaker: FanDuel
Combined Odds: ~5.67 (2.72 x 2.08)
Why This Parlay?
1. Hanshin Tigers -1.5 Spread (2.72):
- The Tigers are a 5-game winning streak machine, including a walk-off win. Their starter, Shota Imanaga, is coming off his first win of the season.
- The -1.5 spread reflects their slight edge, but the higher odds (2.72) suggest value if they win by 2+ runs.
- Total Over 5.5 Runs (2.08):
- Recent games for both teams have been high-scoring (e.g., DeNA’s 8-5 win, Tigers’ 3-2 game).
- The Over is priced at 2.08, implying a ~48.1% chance. Given the Tigers’ aggressive offense and DeNA’s recent 8-5 game, the Over feels undervalued.
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Implied Probability & Value:
- Combined Implied Probability: ~17.66% (1 / 5.67).
- Actual Probability Estimate:
- Tigers to cover: ~40% (based on 2.72 odds).
- Over 5.5: ~50% (based on 2.08 odds).
- Combined: ~20% (40% x 50%).
- Value Gap: The market implies 17.66%, but actual probability is ~20%—a ~14% edge.
Final Verdict:
This parlay targets a high-reward scenario: Hanshin wins decisively (and the game stays explosive. With the Tigers’ recent form and DeNA’s offensive firepower, the Over 5.5 is a logical call. If you’re feeling bold, this 5.67-1 shot could turn $100 into $567.
Bet: FanDuel – Hanshin Tigers -1.5 + Total Over 5.5 Runs
Odds: 5.67 (2.72 x 2.08)
Risk Level: High (but high-reward!)
“Baseball’s a game of inches, but this parlay’s a game of runs and spreads—grab it while the line’s tight!” 🎯⚾
Created: July 4, 2025, 7:49 a.m. GMT