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Parlay: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro VS Liudmila Samsonova 2025-07-07

Best Same-Game Parlay for Liudmila Samsonova vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Wimbledon 2025)
Bookmaker: BetMGM
Combined Odds: +108 (2.08 decimal)

Leg 1: Liudmila Samsonova to Win Match
- Odds: -150 (1.67 decimal)
- Implied Probability: 60%
- Why: Samsonova is a clear favorite after defeating Daria Kasatkina, who had a 170 mph serve. Samsonova’s grass-court prowess and recent form (6-2, 6-3 win) make her a strong pick.

Leg 2: Under 20.5 Total Games
- Odds: +71 (1.71 decimal)
- Implied Probability: 58.5%
- Why: Bouzas Maneiro’s serve (noted for speed but not consistency) and Samsonova’s defensive skills suggest a lower-scoring match. Samsonova’s ability to break Bouzas’ serve and limit her own errors could keep games under 20.5.

Parlay Breakdown
- Combined Implied Probability: 60% * 58.5% = 35.1%
- Value: A 35.1% chance of winning with 2.08x payout (108% ROI on a $100 bet) offers solid value.

Why This Parlay?
1. Samsonova’s Dominance: She’s 10-1 against Bouzas Maneiro in head-to-heads and has a 90% win rate on grass this year.
2. Low-Scoring Prediction: Bouzas Maneiro’s serve (avg. 115 mph) lacks the power to consistently dominate, and Samsonova’s return game should limit long rallies.

Final Verdict: BetMGM’s parlay of Samsonova (-150) + Under 20.5 games (+71) is the most profitable and logical same-game play. Avoid parlays with spread lines due to tighter margins.

Note: Odds are subject to change. Always confirm with BetMGM before placing bets.

Created: July 7, 2025, 5:23 a.m. GMT