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Parlay: Keir Harvie VS Ieuan Mackenzie 2025-09-13

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Same Game Parlay Breakdown: Keir Harvie vs. Ieuan Mackenzie
Where the Odds Are Tighter Than a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu Gi


1. Parse the Odds: Numbers Don’t Lie (Mostly)
The UFC Fight Pass main event on September 13 features Keir Harvie (-150) as the favorite and Ieuan Mackenzie (+260) as the underdog. Let’s crunch the numbers:
- Harvie’s implied probability: 150 / (150 + 100) = 60%.
- Mackenzie’s implied probability: 100 / (260 + 100) = 27.8%.

The remaining 12.2%? That’s the bookmaker’s “vig,” or the price of entering the gladiatorial arena of sports betting. Harvie’s lower odds suggest he’s the safer bet, but Mackenzie’s +260 payout could make your grandma scream, “That’s how you make a bet, son!"


2. Digest the News: Where’s the Drama?
Unfortunately, the provided news articles focus on other fights (e.g., Diego Lopes vs. Jean Silva, Vladislav Kovalev’s title win) and don’t mention Harvie or Mackenzie. No injuries, no circus-acrobat goalies, no quotes about “ruining careers.” But let’s invent some fun context to fill the void:
- Keir Harvie: Imagine a fighter with the stamina of a caffeinated cheetah and the striking accuracy of a GPS-guided espresso shot. Rumor has it he once arm-wrestled a bear to a draw during training camp.
- Ieuan Mackenzie: The underdog with the underdog name. His fighting style? “I just wing it and hope for the best.” Mackenzie’s +260 odds make him a long shot, but in MMA, long shots sometimes hit like a surprise tax audit.


3. Humorous Spin: Absurdity as a Sport
Let’s lean into the chaos:
- Harvie’s defense: So impenetrable, it once deflected a hailstorm of Twitter critics.
- Mackenzie’s offense: As predictable as a Monday morning traffic jam. If he lands a headkick, it’ll be the first time a head and a knee have shaken hands in mutual surprise.
- The crowd: Will they chant for blood or for the bartender? Only time will tell.


4. Prediction: Bet Like a Roman, Pray Like a Gladiatrix
Final Verdict: Keir Harvie to win via decision (-150).

Why? The odds favor Harvie’s experience and consistency, even if his victory might be as thrilling as watching paint dry. Mackenzie’s +260 line is tempting for those who enjoy the thrill of a gamble, but unless he pulls off a Hail Mary like Kovalev’s chokehold on Shlemko, Harvie’s name will be etched in the win column.

Same Game Parlay Angle: Combine Harvie (-150) with an Over/Under round (if available). If the fight goes the distance, Harvie’s decision win + Over 3.5 rounds could pad your ledger. If not, at least you’ll have a story about how Ieuan Mackenzie tried to out-dance a robot.


In Summary: Bet on Harvie unless you’re a masochist who believes luck is a combat sport. And remember, folks: In MMA, the only thing sharper than a fighter’s elbow is your accountant’s bill after a losing streak. Stay sharp, stay foolish, and may your parlays be ever in your favor. 🥊💰

Created: Sept. 13, 2025, 4:02 p.m. GMT