Parlay: Las Vegas Aces VS Dallas Wings 2025-07-27

WNBA Showdown: Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings – A Parlay Packed with Punchlines

The Las Vegas Aces (12-13) are set to invade Dallas for a showdown with the Wings (7-18), and if you’re looking for a same-game parlay that’s as solid as A’ja Wilson’s free-throw percentage, here’s your guide. Buckle up—it’s going to be a bumpy, pun-filled ride.

1. Parse the Odds: The Math Doesn’t Lie (Mostly)
The Aces are heavy favorites, with moneyline odds hovering around -1000 (yes, you read that right—FanDuel’s decimal odds of 1.21 translate to an 82.6% implied probability). They’re also favored by 9 points on the spread, which feels like giving a toddler a 9-point advantage in a game of checkers. Dallas, meanwhile, is missing Paige Bueckers, Maddy Siegrist, Myisha Hines-Allen, and Tyasha Harris, which is like showing up to a chess match with only your king and a pawn.

Key stats to note:
- A’ja Wilson is scorching hot, averaging 22 PPG and 9 RPG. Her “over 23.5 points” line is set at -104, implying bookmakers think she’ll eclipse 23.5 points ~50% of the time.
- The Aces are second in blocks allowed and struggle from three (26.2% FG). Dallas, on the other hand, allows 85.8 PPG—a number so high, it’s practically a typo.
- The total points line sits at 166.5-167.5, which feels optimistic given Dallas’s porous defense and the Aces’ anemic three-point shooting.

2. Digest the News: Injuries, Absurdity, and Arike’s Lone Stand
Dallas’s roster reads like a “Who’s Missing?” scavenger hunt. Without Bueckers (their primary playmaker) and Siegrist (a defensive anchor), the Wings are down to a skeleton crew. It’s like asking a sushi chef to cook with a spatula and a dream.

Arike Ogunbowale, Dallas’s lone bright spot, is still expected to play. Her “over 17.5 points” line is -118, implying a 52% chance she’ll torch the Aces’ defense. But let’s be real: With the Aces’ blocks and Dallas’s lack of perimeter help, Ogunbowale might as well be shooting from half-court.

The Aces? They’re coming off two losses but have Wilson, who’s been as reliable as a microwave (you trust it, even when it sputters). Their recent struggles? Just growing pains—like a toddler learning to walk, but with a 22-point game tacked on for good measure.

3. Humorous Spin: Because Sports Analysis Needs More Laughs
- Dallas’s defense: If the Wings’ defense were a colander, it’d be out of the kitchen and into the WNBA. They’re allowing points like a leaky faucet—85.8 PPG to be exact.
- Aces’ three-point shooting: At 26.2%, their perimeter game is about as effective as a screen door in a hurricane. They’d probably try to shoot from half-court just to feel more confident.
- A’ja Wilson: She’s the Aces’ version of a Swiss Army knife—22 points, 9 rebounds, and the emotional fortitude to outlast a Fever loss.

4. Prediction: The Parlay Playbook
Best Same-Game Parlay:
1. Las Vegas Aces to Win (-105 implied probability): With Dallas missing key pieces and the Aces’ defense stifling, this is a near-lock.
2. A’ja Wilson Over 23.5 Points (-104): Wilson’s been a one-woman show lately. Bet she’ll drop 24 and a side of humble pie for doubters.
3. Arike Ogunbowale Under 17.5 Points (-118): Without Bueckers to set screens, Ogunbowale’s scoring will plummet. She’ll be the star of a one-woman show… on a stage with no audience.

Why This Works: The Aces’ dominance on defense and Wilson’s scoring prowess create a perfect storm for this parlay. Meanwhile, Dallas’s injuries ensure Ogunbowale won’t reach her over/under line. The total points line is a trap—stick with the Aces’ two-way dominance instead.

Final Verdict: The Aces win ~83% of the time per the odds, and this parlay bundles that certainty with Wilson’s scoring flair and Ogunbowale’s injury-induced struggles. Place your bets, and if it all falls apart? Blame the “unpredictability of sports”—or just laugh and call it a lesson in humility.

“The Aces aren’t just winning—they’re winning with the elegance of a well-timed dad joke.”

Created: July 27, 2025, 1:40 p.m. GMT