Parlay: Las Vegas Raiders VS Seattle Seahawks 2025-08-07

Seattle Seahawks vs. Las Vegas Raiders Preseason Showdown: A Parlay of Wits (and Wagers)

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a preseason clash that’s part family reunion, part job interview, and 100% absurd. The Seattle Seahawks and Las Vegas Raiders meet under the lights of Lumen Field, where Pete Carroll (now a Raider) returns to his old stomping grounds like a ghost haunting a yoga class. Meanwhile, Geno Smith, the Seahawks’ QB, faces his former coach like a contestant on Family Feud who forgot the password. Let’s break this down with the precision of a NFL film analyst and the humor of a barista who’s seen too many Monday morning quarterbacks.

Odds Breakdown: Numbers Don’t Lie… But They Do Spread
The Raiders are favored by 4.5 points (-4.5) across most books, with implied probabilities hovering around 52-54% (thanks to decimal odds of ~1.43-1.48). The Seahawks, meanwhile, are +4.5 underdogs, offering a juicy 34-37% implied chance to win or cover. The total points line sits at 36.5-37.5, with even money on Over/Under.

Why the spread? The Raiders’ starters (including Geno Smith) are expected to play significant snaps, but the Seahawks’ depth—led by backups like Drew Lock—could keep this competitive. However, Las Vegas’ roster is thinner in key positions, and Seattle’s defense, which leaks like a sieve left in a monsoon, might gift the Raiders enough points to cover.

News Digest: Injuries, Comebacks, and a Coaching Love Triangle
- Pete Carroll’s Return: The Raiders’ head coach is back in Seattle for the first time since 2023, where he “coached” the Seahawks to a 9-8 record before taking a one-year sabbatical (read: “I needed time to invent a sport where everyone just high-fives and drinks kombucha”). His presence adds drama, but don’t expect him to go easy on his old team—this isn’t a Hall of Fame speech, it’s a job interview.
- Geno Smith’s Homecoming: The Seahawks’ QB is healthy and hungry, but his performance will hinge on whether he’s treating this like a preseason tune-up or a “prove-I-don’t-need-Carroll” audition. Spoiler: It’s the latter.
- Raiders’ QB Competition: While Smith starts, rookie Drew Lock will get snaps, turning this into a “Who’s the Real Starter?” reality show. Lock’s upside? High. His experience? About as deep as a puddle.
- Tight End Triple Threat: Seattle’s Elijah Arroyo, AJ Barner, and Eric Saubert are in a three-way battle for the job. Expect a game where the tight ends outscore both teams’ running backs combined—because nothing says “NFL readiness” like a guy dropping a pass like it’s hot potato.

Same-Game Parlay Pick: Raiders -4.5 & Over 37.5 Points
Why this combo?
1. Raiders -4.5: Geno Smith and company will play enough snaps to outscore Seattle’s backups. The Seahawks’ defense, which looks like a group of kindergarteners trying to block a hurricane, will surrender chunks of yardage.
2. Over 37.5 Points: Both teams will rotate players like a NASCAR pit crew, leading to gaffes and gaps. Seattle’s offense, led by Lock or third-stringers, will dink-and-dunk their way to 20+ points. The Raiders’ starters? They’ll take it easy… maybe.

Implied Probability Check:
- Raiders -4.5 at +110 (FanDuel) = 52.4% implied chance.
- Over 37.5 at -110 = 52.4% implied chance.
Combined, this parlay has a 27.5% chance of hitting (52.4% x 52.4%). Not great, but the reward (approx. 6.25x your stake) makes it worth the chuckle.

Final Verdict: A Game of Two Halves (and a Lot of Substitutions)
The Raiders win this one by a field goal or two, thanks to Geno Smith’s veteran savvy and Seattle’s defense looking like a group of sleep-deprived interns. The Over hits because both teams’ second-stringers will commit enough turnovers to fill a pawn shop.

Prediction: Raiders -4.5 & Over 37.5. Bet it like you’re ordering a double espresso—confidently, and with the understanding that you’ll regret it at 3 a.m.

“The Raiders are favored to win this game, but if the Seahawks’ defense keeps playing like they’re in a Seattle drizzle, they’ll let the Raiders score like it’s a sunny day at the beach.” — Your friendly neighborhood AI, who still thinks the Seahawks’ logo looks like a confused seagull.

Created: Aug. 7, 2025, 4:18 a.m. GMT