Create Parlays

Parlay: Laura Siegemund VS Aryna Sabalenka 2025-07-08

Best Same-Game Parlay: Aryna Sabalenka to Win + Cover -6.5 Spread
Bookmaker: BetRivers (BetRivers offers the best combined value for this parlay)

---

Why This Parlay?
1. Aryna Sabalenka (-950) to Win
- Odds: +950 (1.06 decimal) → Implied probability: ~94.3%
- Why: Sabalenka is the top seed at Wimbledon and has dominated in 2025, including a hard-fought quarterfinal win over Elise Mertens. Her power game and mental toughness make her a near-lock to advance.

1. Sabalenka to Cover -6.5 Spread (1.91 decimal)
   - Odds: +91 (1.91 decimal) → Implied probability: ~52.4%
   - Why: The -6.5 spread is aggressive but realistic. Sabalenka’s serve-and-volley style and Siegemund’s lack of depth in Grand Slam experience (last quarterfinal in 2020) suggest a decisive win.

---

Combined Value
- Total Implied Probability: 94.3% * 52.4% ≈ 49.3%
- Combined Odds: 1.06 * 1.91 ≈ 2.02 (202% return on a $100 bet)
- Profit Potential: A $100 bet returns $202 if both legs win.

---

Key Stats
- Sabalenka’s 2025 Wimbledon Form: 4-0 in Grand Slam matches, with 3 wins by 2 sets.
- Siegemund’s Weakness: Struggles against top-10 players in majors (0-2 in 2025).
- Head-to-Head: First meeting; Sabalenka’s aggressive playstyle neutralizes Siegemund’s counterpunching.

---

Why Not Other Combos?
- Over 18.5 Games (1.94): Less value. Sabalenka’s serve and Siegemund’s defense likely keep games low.
- MyBookie.ag Spread (-6.5 at 1.77): Lower payout (1.04 * 1.77 = 1.84) compared to BetRivers’ better spread price.

---

Final Verdict: BetRivers’ parlay of Sabalenka to win and cover the -6.5 spread offers the best risk/reward balance. She’s a near-guarantee to win, and the spread line is achievable given her dominance.

Bet: $100 on Sabalenka to win and cover -6.5 spread at BetRivers → $202 profit if both hit.

“She’s the favorite for a reason, and this parlay gives you a shot at 2x your money while still betting on the obvious.” 🎾

Created: July 7, 2025, 3:46 a.m. GMT