Parlay: Liberty Flames VS Old Dominion Monarchs 2025-09-27

Liberty vs. Old Dominion: A Tale of Two Teams (One With a 14.5-Point Disadvantage)

Parse the Odds: The Math of Desperation
Let’s cut to the chase: Old Dominion is the favorite here, and not by a suggestion. The books have them as -14.5-point dogs, with implied probabilities hovering around 54% (per their +115 moneyline odds). Liberty, meanwhile, is a +550 underdog, which mathematically suggests bookmakers give them roughly 15% chance to win. For context, that’s about the same odds as me correctly guessing your favorite sandwich combo on the first try.

The total is set at 53.5 points, with nearly even money on Over/Under. Given Old Dominion’s 38-10 win over Virginia Tech (per the article) and Liberty’s 31-13 loss to James Madison (their most recent game), this game could either be a shootout or a defensive clinic. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves.

Digest the News: A Team on Fire (Literally, Maybe)
Liberty’s 1-3 start has been about as effective as a screen door on a submarine. After losing to James Madison—a team with a defense that could make a librarian blush—they’re desperate for a win. The good news? They’ve got historical bragging rights: they beat Old Dominion 38-10 last year. The bad news? That was 2023, and time has a habit of erasing memories, especially when you’re a football team that’s lost three straight.

Old Dominion, meanwhile, is riding high after their Virginia Tech thrashing. They’re 2-1, their offense is clicking, and their defense seems to have finally remembered how to tackle. Or, as Coach Dowell Loggains might say, “We’re not leaving anything on the field… unless it’s a Virginia Tech player.”

Humorous Spin: Football, Metaphors, and a Sprinkling of Absurdity
Liberty’s offense is currently functioning like a toaster oven that’s been told it’s not a real oven. It tries! It sparks! But when you need it to bake a cake, it just smokes the house. Old Dominion’s defense, on the other hand, is like a very focused swarm of bees: relentless, precise, and not afraid to sting.

The 14.5-point spread? That’s not a number—it’s a warning label. Liberty is being asked to perform like a toddler in a chess tournament: cute, but don’t expect checkmate. And the total of 53.5 points? If this game hits the Over, it’ll be because Old Dominion’s quarterback starts juggling Hail Marys just for fun.

Prediction: The Math, the Madness, and the Monarchs
Putting it all together: Old Dominion is the clear play here, but let’s not just settle for a single bet. The same-game parlay to own is Old Dominion -14.5 AND Under 53.5. Why?

Old Dominion -14.5: Liberty’s offense is a leaky faucet in a hurricane. Old Dominion’s defense is… well, not that. They’ll win by enough to make the spread irrelevant, unless Liberty’s quarterback suddenly develops the arm of a time-traveling Aaron Rodgers.
2. Under 53.5: For all of Old Dominion’s offensive zip, Liberty’s defense might finally step up after three weeks of humiliation. Imagine a world where they hold Old Dominion to, say, 24 points. It’s not a stretch—it’s just basic respect.

Final Verdict: Old Dominion wins 31-17, covering the spread and keeping the total under 53.5. Liberty fans, grab your popcorn—this won’t be a game, it’ll be a teaching moment. And remember: in football, as in life, the spread is just a number… unless you’re Liberty, in which case it’s a math problem.

Bet responsibly, and never trust a team that can’t remember how to win. 🏈

Created: Sept. 27, 2025, 9:44 p.m. GMT