Parlay: Los Angeles Angels VS New York Mets 2025-07-22
Mets vs. Angels: A Same-Game Parlay Masterclass
Where the Angels’ bullpen is a home-run party and the Mets bring the confetti
1. Parse the Odds: The Numbers Don’t Lie (Mostly)
The New York Mets (-1.5 run line, -155) are the clear favorites here, with implied odds suggesting a 61.7% chance to win (based on -155 American odds). The Angels (+1.5, +130) are the underdogs, and their bullpen is the reason to bet against their underdog status. Los Angeles’ relief corps has allowed an MLB-high 59 home runs in 2025—a number so staggering it makes you wonder if their pitchers accidentally brought a batting cage to the mound.
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The total is set at 9 runs, with the Over priced at -105 to +190 (depending on the bookmaker). Given the Mets’ 35-7 record when scoring 5+ runs and their star slugger Pete Alonso’s reverse splits (16 HRs vs. righties, 5 vs. lefties), the Over looks like a firework sale at a gas station: everyone’s buying, and it’s about to blow.
2. Digest the News: Alonso’s Ambidextrous Anger
Pete Alonso is having a reverse-split renaissance, hitting 16 of his 21 homers against right-handed pitchers. Since the Angels’ bullpen is a righty-all-star convention (and their relievers have allowed 59 HRs this year), Alonso is basically a one-man wrecking crew. Imagine a toddler with a sledgehammer, but instead of crying, he’s launching fastballs into the upper deck.
The Angels aren’t totally helpless, though. Their .304 on-base percentage (10th in the AL) means they’ll get on base, but their bullpen’s HR issues suggest they’ll score more runs in the stat sheet than in reality. As for the starters? The data says Kodai Senga (Mets) vs. Tyler Anderson (Angels), but your initial prompt mentioned Frankie Montas and Kyle Hendricks. Let’s assume this is a time-travel error or a particularly aggressive typo. Either way, Senga’s 2025 ERA of 3.22 vs. Anderson’s 4.78 makes the Mets’ rotation look like a luxury suite.
3. Humorous Spin: Baseball’s Weirdest Bedfellows
The Angels’ bullpen is so leaky, it makes a colander look like Fort Knox. They’ve allowed 59 HRs—enough to fill a minor league stadium. If their relievers were a cheeseburger, it’d be extra mayo, extra regret.
Meanwhile, Alonso’s reverse splits are the sports equivalent of a surprise party: everyone’s invited, and no one’s prepared. He’s so hot against righties, he could melt a snowman in a sauna. And Citi Field? It’s a hitter’s playground. The Mets are 34-16 at home, which is about the same odds of winning the lottery… if the lottery only required you to show up.
4. Prediction: Bet the Over with a Side of Mets
Here’s the parlay play: Mets Moneyline (-155) + Over 9 Runs (-105). Why?
- Alonso and the Mets’ offense will feast on the Angels’ bullpen like gophers at a cornfield.
- The Angels’ OBP (.304) means they’ll scratch together runs, but their relievers will turn every game into a HR derby.
- The total is 9, but this feels like a 10+ game. Bet the Over as if it’s a Netflix series with no pause button.
Final Verdict: Take the Mets to win and the Over 9.5 runs. The Angels’ bullpen is a HR buffet, and Alonso is the main course. Unless Senga suddenly develops a career-ending case of the yips (or you’re betting on that), this parlay is as safe as a squirrel in a bank vault.
Place your bets, then blame the Angels’ relievers when you cash in. 🎉⚾
Created: July 22, 2025, 6:17 p.m. GMT