Parlay: Los Angeles Angels VS Toronto Blue Jays 2025-07-06
Same Game Parlay Recommendation: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline + Over 9.5 Runs
Bookmaker: DraftKings
Odds: +186 (Combined Decimal: 2.86)
Why This Parlay?
1. Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline (-220)
- Implied Probability: ~68.9%
- The Jays are a 7-game winning streak machine, led by George Springer (15 HRs) and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (3x3 in last game). Their .732 OPS and Max Scherzer’s recent struggles (4.85 ERA) suggest they’ll handle the Angels’ weak offense.
- Over 9.5 Runs (1.97)
- Implied Probability: ~50.8%
- Both teams have power: Toronto averages 1 HR/game, while the Angels rank 5th in MLB homers (128). Jack Kochanowicz (5.44 ERA) and Scherzer (4.85 ERA) are shaky starters, and the previous matchup (4-3 in 11 innings) hints at a high-scoring affair.
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Value Breakdown
- Combined Implied Probability: ~35% (1 / 2.86)
- Potential Payout: $186 profit on a $100 bet if both legs hit.
Key Stats to Watch
- Toronto’s Power: Springer (15 HRs) and Guerrero Jr. (12 HRs) are MLB’s 5th and 10th in home runs.
- Angels’ Weakness: 17th in OPS (.704) but 5th in HRs (128), suggesting they’ll swing for the fences.
- Pitching Matchup: Kochanowicz (5.44 ERA) vs. Scherzer (4.85 ERA) = a recipe for runs.
Final Verdict: This parlay balances Toronto’s dominance with the game’s high-offense potential. If you trust the Jays to win and the total to exceed 9.5, DraftKings offers the best value.
Note: All odds as of 7/6/2025 at 7:33 AM ET.
Created: July 6, 2025, 7:34 a.m. GMT