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Parlay: Los Angeles Dodgers VS Milwaukee Brewers 2025-07-09

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Same Game Parlay: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (July 9, 2025)
Bookmaker: BetUS
Legs:
1. Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline (+245)
2. Under 8.5 Runs (-111)


Why This Parlay?
1. Brewers Moneyline (+245):
- The Brewers are underdogs but have a strong pitching advantage. Starter Jose Quintana (3.44 ERA) faces a Dodgers team with the 23rd-worst ERA (4.36). Quintana’s control and the Brewers’ 10th-ranked team ERA (3.74) make them a solid play.
- The Brewers have won 3 straight games, including a 9-1 rout of the Dodgers in their most recent matchup.

  1. Under 8.5 Runs (-111):
    - The SportsLine Projection Model forecasts 8.2 combined runs, and the implied probability of the Under is 52.4%.
    - Quintana’s 4.50 ERA and the Brewers’ stingy bullpen (3.74 team ERA) vs. a Dodgers offense that’s struggling (5-0 skid) support the Under.


Odds & Implied Probability
- Brewers Moneyline (+245):
Implied probability = 28.6% (100 / (245 + 100)).
- Under 8.5 (-111):
Implied probability = 52.4% (111 / (111 + 100)).
- Combined Implied Probability:
28.6% * 52.4% = 14.9% chance to win.
- Combined Payout:
245 * 1.91 (decimal odds) = +468 (368% profit on a $100 bet).


Key Matchup Factors
- Pitching Edge: Quintana (3.44 ERA) vs. Glasnow (4.50 ERA).
- Dodgers’ Struggles: L.A. has lost 5 straight, including a 9-1 drubbing by Milwaukee.
- Model Confidence: SportsLine’s 8.2-run projection aligns with the Under.


Final Verdict:
This parlay hinges on the Brewers’ pitching stifling the Dodgers’ potent offense and the low-scoring environment. BetUS offers the best value for this combo. Take the Brewers Moneyline and Under 8.5 Runs at BetUS (+468).

“The Brewers’ defense is a fortress, and the Dodgers’ bats are asleep. Trust the model, trust the math, and trust the Under.”The Handicapper’s Almanac 🎯

Created: July 9, 2025, 1:05 p.m. GMT