Parlay: Los Angeles FC VS Austin FC 2025-07-05
Best Same Game Parlay: LAFC to Win + Over 2.5 Goals
Bookmaker: Bovada
Odds:
- LAFC to Win (H2H): 2.45
- Over 2.5 Goals (Totals): 1.95
Combined Implied Probability:
- LAFC Win: 1 / 2.45 ≈ 40.8%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 1 / 1.95 ≈ 51.3%
- Total Implied Probability: 40.8% * 51.3% ≈ 20.9%
Why This Works:
1. LAFC’s Edge: As the 40.7% favorite (per OPTA), they’re the clear pick to win, especially after a long break since June.
2. High-Scoring Potential: The Over 2.5 line at 1.95 reflects confidence in a combined 3+ goals. Both teams have attacking firepower (Austin’s 14.2 goals per game vs. LAFC’s 12.8).
3. Value Play: The parlay’s implied probability (20.9%) is lower than the combined risk (40.8% + 51.3% = 92.1%), suggesting value if you believe in a high-scoring LAFC win.
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Profit Example:
- $100 Bet: $100 * 2.45 (LAFC) * 1.95 (Over) = $478 Profit (if both legs hit).
Key Stat: Austin FC has scored in 8 of their last 10 games, while LAFC has allowed 1.5+ goals in 6 of their last 8.
Verdict: A smart, high-reward parlay for a match where both teams are likely to attack. Stick with Bovada for the best line.
Created: July 2, 2025, 12:20 a.m. GMT