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Parlay: Los Angeles Sparks VS New York Liberty 2025-07-03

Same Game Parlay: New York Liberty to Win + OVER 170.5 Total Points
Bookmaker: FanDuel
Odds: 2.19 (1.15 x 1.91)

Why This Parlay Works:
1. New York Liberty to Win (-10.5 Spread, 1.15):
- The Liberty are a 10.5-point favorite despite recent struggles, and their 11-5 record (down from a 9-0 start) suggests they’re still a strong team.
- The Sparks have lost 5 of 6 games and are struggling defensively (11th in points allowed). Breanna Stewart’s 20.8 PPG and the Liberty’s top-3 pace make them a high-octane offense.

1. OVER 170.5 Total Points (1.91):
   - The OVER has hit in 10 of the Liberty’s 16 games this season.
   - Both teams rank in the WNBA’s top 3 in pace, and the Sparks’ porous defense (11th in points allowed) should allow New York to score freely.
   - Kelsey Plum (22 points vs. Chicago) and Breanna Stewart (20.8 PPG) form a lethal scoring duo.

Implied Probability & Value:
- Liberty to Win: 1 / 1.15 ≈ 86.96%
- OVER 170.5: 1 / 1.91 ≈ 52.36%
- Combined Implied Probability: 86.96% * 52.36% ≈ 45.5%
- Parlay Odds: 1 / 0.455 ≈ 2.20 (actual odds: 2.19) → Slight value due to low implied probability vs. market price.

Final Verdict:
This parlay leverages the Liberty’s offensive firepower and the Sparks’ defensive woes. While the Liberty’s recent form is shaky, their talent edge and the Sparks’ struggles make this a high-probability OVER and a plausible win. The 2.19 return is solid for a low-risk, high-reward bet.

Bet: $100 on Liberty to Win + OVER 170.5 at FanDuel
Potential Payout: $219

Note: All odds and stats are current as of July 3, 2025. Always confirm with your preferred bookmaker before placing bets.

Created: July 3, 2025, 5:53 p.m. GMT