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Parlay: Louisville Bats VS St. Paul Saints 2025-06-27

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Same-Game Parlay Pick: Louisville Bats vs. St. Paul Saints (MiLB, June 27, 2025)
Bookmaker: FanDuel

Leg 1: Louisville Bats to Win (+96) [Moneyline: 1.96]
Leg 2: Total Runs Over 11.5 (+86) [Overline: 1.86]

Combined Odds: +264 (3.64 decimal)
Payout for $100: $364


Why This Parlay?
1. Louisville Bats as Underdogs:
- While the Bats are -1.5-run spread underdogs, their moneyline (1.96) suggests they’re a slight favorite to win outright. This often indicates a high-scoring game where the underdog can capitalize on a strong offense.

  1. High-Scoring Potential:
    - The Over 11.5 runs line is priced at 1.86, implying a 53.8% implied probability. Combining this with the Bats’ win creates a correlated play: if Louisville scores enough to win, they’re likely to push the Over.

  1. Value in the Over:
    - The Bats’ offense (via MiLB stats) and St. Paul’s pitching (if weak) could lead to a high-scoring game. The Over has better odds than the Under (1.86 vs. 1.86), but the Bats’ win leg adds a layer of value.


Key Considerations:
- Correlation Risk: If Louisville wins by a large margin, the Over becomes more likely. Conversely, a low-scoring win for St. Paul would bust the parlay.
- Bookmaker Choice: FanDuel offers the best combined odds for this combo (vs. BetRivers’ 1.95 x 1.85 = 3.59).

Final Verdict: A smart, high-reward play for fans of underdogs and high-scoring games. The Bats’ win + Over 11.5 runs parlay is a 3.64x multiplier—ideal for maximizing returns on a single game.

Note: This is a MiLB game (not MLB), so check FanDuel’s MiLB betting rules for eligibility.

Created: June 27, 2025, 7:20 p.m. GMT