Parlay: Melbourne Storm VS North Queensland Cowboys 2025-07-05

Same Game Parlay Pick: Melbourne Storm to Cover the Spread (-6.5) & Total Points Over (48.5)
Bookmaker: BetUS
Odds: 1.72 (Spread) x 1.85 (Over) = 3.18 (Combined Odds)

Why This Parlay?
1. Melbourne Storm to Cover (-6.5):
- Odds: +100 (implied probability: 58.14%).
- Despite missing 9 State of Origin stars, the Storm’s depth and bench (including Jonah Pezet) should allow them to maintain a lead. A 6.5-point spread is achievable if their offense avoids major hiccups.

Total Points Over 48.5:
- Odds: +85 (implied probability: 54.05%).
- Both teams’ defenses are weakened (Storm’s inexperienced roster vs. Cowboys’ missing Taulagi). A high-scoring game is likely, with the Storm’s attack (even understrength) and Cowboys’ porous defense (8th-worst in points conceded) creating opportunities.

Key Stats:
- Storm’s Bench: Jonah Pezet’s return adds experience, while the Cowboys’ side lacks firepower without Taulagi.
- Cowboys’ Defense: 15th in points conceded (23.4 p/g), struggling against even mid-tier teams.
- Line Value: BetUS offers the lowest combined implied probability (31.4%) for this parlay, suggesting value if the actual win probability is higher.

Final Verdict:
This parlay balances risk and reward. The Storm’s ability to cover a modest spread and the game’s likely high score make this a smart same-game play. If you’re feeling bold, add a third leg (e.g., Storm’s 1st Try Under 15 mins) for a 3-leg parlay at 1.72 x 1.85 x 1.55 = 4.85 (1/4.85 ≈ 20.6% implied).

Play it now on BetUS — and hope the Storm’s bench doesn’t turn this into a horror show.

Created: July 5, 2025, 12:37 a.m. GMT