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Parlay: Miami Marlins VS San Francisco Giants 2025-06-25

Same-Game Parlay Pick: San Francisco Giants Win + Under 6.5 Runs
Bookmaker: FanDuel
Odds: Giants Win (-222) + Under 6.5 Runs (2.0) = Total Implied Odds of ~2.88 (188% return on a $100 bet)

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Why This Parlay Works
1. Giants Win (-222):
- San Francisco is a strong favorite (59.2% win rate when favored) with a 3.29 ERA (3rd in MLB) and 4.3 runs per game (18th in MLB).
- Logan Webb (2.49 ERA) faces a Miami staff that ranks 27th in ERA (4.91).
- Giants are 3-1 when favored by -222 or shorter this season.

1. Under 6.5 Runs (2.0):
   - The Giants’ pitching staff (3.29 ERA) vs. Miami’s offense (24th in MLB at 4 R/G) creates a mismatch.
   - Miami’s pitching (4.91 ERA) struggles to contain even average offenses, but San Francisco’s offense isn’t explosive (4.3 R/G).
   - 12 of the Giants’ last 15 games have gone Under 6.5 runs when starting Webb.

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Key Stats to Watch
- Giants’ pitching dominance: 3.29 ERA vs. Marlins’ 4.91 ERA.
- Giants’ lineup: Jung Hoo Lee, Wilmer Flores, and Heliot Ramos are consistent, but they’ll face a 2-2 Cabrera (3.81 ERA) with poor control.
- Marlins’ offense: 24th in MLB (4 R/G) and 0-5 in their last 5 games as underdogs.

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Why Not the Giants -1.5 Spread?
While the Giants -1.5 spread (2.04 odds) is tempting, the Under 6.5 is safer given the pitching matchups. The Giants’ offense isn’t elite (4.3 R/G), and the Marlins’ lineup is too weak to score consistently.

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Final Verdict
This parlay combines a strong favorite with a high-probability Under line. The Giants’ pitching and the Marlins’ offensive struggles make this a smart, low-risk play with solid returns.

Bet: Giants Win + Under 6.5 Runs @ FanDuel (2.88 odds)
Risk: $100 | Potential Payout: $288

Note: Odds are current as of June 26, 2025. Always confirm lines at your preferred bookmaker.

Created: June 26, 2025, 12:48 a.m. GMT