Parlay: Milwaukee Brewers VS Chicago Cubs 2025-06-18

Same Game Parlay: Chicago Cubs to Win + Over 8.5 Runs
Odds: +215 (1.15 implied probability)

Why This Works:
1. Cubs’ Offense vs. Brewers’ ERA: The Cubs rank 2nd in MLB scoring (5.3 R/G) and face a Brewers team with a 3.79 ERA (13th). High-scoring potential is baked in.
2. Home Field Advantage: Chicago is a dominant home team, with a 71.4% win rate when favored this season.
3. Pitching Matchup: Ben Brown (Cubs, 5.71 ERA) vs. Chad Patrick (Brewers, 3.25 ERA). Brown’s shaky ERA suggests the game could get loose.
4. Value in the Over: The Over 8.5 runs is priced at -109 (even money), but the Cubs’ offense and Brewers’ defense make this a logical pick.

Key Stats to Note:
- Cubs are 44-28 (1st in NL) and 10-4 at Wrigley Field this season.
- Brewers are 39-34 but just 12-16 on the road.
- Chicago’s +109 run differential (2nd in MLB) vs. Milwaukee’s +22 (13th).

Risks:
- Ben Brown’s 5.71 ERA could lead to a high-scoring game, but the Cubs’ offense should offset that.
- Injuries on both teams could lead to defensive lapses, but Chicago’s depth and home advantage mitigate this.

Verdict: This parlay balances the Cubs’ strong win probability with the Over’s value. If you’re feeling bold, add the Cubs -1.5 run line (-140) for a 3-leg parlay at +460. But the 2-leg version is safer and still offers solid value.

Play It: FanDuel offers the best odds for this combo at +215.

Created: June 18, 2025, 5:49 p.m. GMT