Parlay: Minnesota Lynx VS Washington Mystics 2025-06-24
Best Same-Game Parlay: Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics
Date: June 24, 2025 | Time: 8 p.m. ET | Location: CareFirst Arena
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### Key Context
- Minnesota Lynx (12-1): Led by MVP candidate Napheesa Collier (24.4 PPG), who returns after missing 1.5 games. The Lynx are on a 6-1 run, including wins over the Aces, Mercury, and Liberty.
- Washington Mystics (8-5): Coming off an overtime win over Dallas, powered by rookie Sonia Citron (27 pts, 11 rebs). However, they trail the Lynx by 2 games in the playoff race.
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### Why This Parlay Works
1. Lynx to Cover the Spread (-9.0):
- Collier’s return adds a massive offensive boost. The Lynx are 9.5-point favorites on average across bookmakers.
- The Mystics’ defense ranks 23rd in the WNBA in points allowed per game (84.2).
- Best Odds: FanDuel offers 1.93 for the Lynx -9.0 spread.
2. Over 156.5 Total Points:
- The Lynx average 86.3 PPG (1st in the league), and the Mystics allow 84.2 PPG (23rd).
- With Collier back, the Lynx’s offense is unstoppable. The Mystics’ recent game (88-91 OT win) shows they’re prone to high-scoring games.
- Best Odds: FanDuel offers 1.89 for the over 156.5 total.
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### Parlay Odds & Value
- Combined Implied Probability: ~27.3% (1 / (1.93 * 1.89)).
- Potential Payout: A $100 bet yields $364.77 (if both legs hit).
- Bookmaker: FanDuel (best prices for both legs).
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### Why Not the Under?
The Mystics’ defense is porous, and the Lynx’s offense is elite. The under 156.5 is a poor bet (1.93 implied probability), and the Lynx’s scoring potential makes the over the safer play.
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### Final Verdict
Bet:
- Minnesota Lynx -9.0 @ 1.93 (FanDuel)
- Over 156.5 Total Points @ 1.89 (FanDuel)
Total Parlay Odds: 3.64 (1.93 * 1.89)
Edge: The Lynx’s dominance and Collier’s return make this a high-probability parlay. The Mystics’ shaky defense and the Lynx’s scoring machine ensure the over is a solid second leg.
Avoid: Any parlay involving the Mystics’ moneyline or spread. They’re a 4.45 underdog at best.
Watch the Game: Sling TV (affordable streaming) or NBA TV.
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“Collier’s back, the Lynx are hungry, and the Mystics’ defense? Well, let’s just say they’re not the Celtics.” — Your friendly AI handicapper.
Created: June 24, 2025, 7:51 a.m. GMT