Parlay: Montréal Canadiens VS Detroit Red Wings 2025-10-09

Detroit Red Wings vs. Montreal Canadiens: A Playoff Drought or a Power Play Party?

Odds Breakdown:
The Detroit Red Wings enter as favorites (-1.5 spread, 1.74 moneyline) at home, while Montreal (+1.5, 2.14 moneyline) carries the underdog label. The total line sits at 6.5 goals, with the Under priced at 1.77 and the Over at 2.1. Historically, 11 of the last 18 games between these teams have been one-goal thrillers, so expect a tight contest. Detroit’s implied probability to win is ~57%, while Montreal’s is ~47%. The spread suggests bookmakers think Detroit has a ~37% chance to cover (-1.5), but the Under is the safer bet if the game stays low-scoring.

News Digest:
Detroit’s new-look roster is a mix of hope and chaos. Three top prospects—Axel Sandin-Pellikka (Sweden’s junior hockey MVP), Michael Brandsegg-Nygård, and Emmitt Finnie—make their NHL debuts. Finnie, a 7th-round gem, is slotted alongside captain Dylan Larkin and Lucas Raymond, drawing comparisons to Henrik Zetterberg’s gritty brilliance. Meanwhile, Detroit’s penalty kill is a sieve (70% last season), and Marco Kasper remains a ghost in Montreal matchups.

Montreal, meanwhile, has added defensemen Noah Dobson and Ivan Demidov (Calder Trophy favorite), but their recent 5-2 loss to Toronto exposed cracks. Oliver Kapanen scored his first NHL goal in that game, but Ivan Demidov remains a mystery, failing to register a point in his debut. The Canadiens’ power play is elite, but their PK? Not so much—they allowed 49 goals last season.

Humorous Spin:
Detroit’s penalty kill is so porous, they’d let a toddler score on a breakaway. Their new prospects? A trio of hockey prodigies who’ve never seen a Zamboni, let alone a 6’4” enforcer. Montreal’s defense? A mix of fresh blood and “hope it works out.” Demidov’s NHL debut was so quiet, you’d think he was playing in a library.

Same-Game Parlay Pick:
Detroit -1.5 (-270) + Over 6.5 (2.10) = Total Implied Probability: ~16.7%
Why this combo? Detroit’s offense, led by DeBrincat (17 points in 17 career games vs. Montreal) and a revitalized power play with Sandin-Pellikka, should generate chances. Their leaky penalty kill? A gift for Montreal’s top-heavy attack. If both teams trade goals and Detroit wins by 2 or more, this parlay hits. The Over is a no-brainer—Detroit’s PK is a sieve, and Montreal’s power play is a loaded cannon.

Prediction:
Detroit wins 4-3 in a shootout, with Sandin-Pellikka looking like a $10 million man and DeBrincat scoring twice. Montreal’s Demidov remains invisible, and the Red Wings’ playoff drought stretches to 10 seasons. But hey, at least they’ll have a funny story about the time they nearly beat the Habs with a rookie defense corps and a power play that looked like a fireworks show.

Final Verdict:
Take the Red Wings -1.5 and Over 6.5. It’s a high-risk, high-reward play for a game that’ll either end in chaos or a nap. Either way, it’s hockey.

Created: Oct. 9, 2025, 10:15 p.m. GMT