Parlay: New York Islanders VS Dallas Stars 2025-11-18

Dallas Stars vs. New York Islanders: A Parlay of Wits and Pucks

The Dallas Stars, fresh off a hat trick from Jason Robertson and a 7-0 shutout of the Canadiens, are hosting the New York Islanders in what promises to be a high-scoring, low-defense spectacle. Let’s break this down with the precision of a Zamboni and the humor of a hockey dad joke.

Parsing the Odds: A Numbers Game
The Stars (-168) are the clear favorites, with implied odds suggesting a 62.1% chance to win. The Isles (+141) offer a 41.3% implied chance, which feels about right given their 19th-ranked defense (allowing 3.2 goals per game). The over/under is set at 6 goals, but the teams’ recent history suggests they’ll blow past it: Dallas and New York average 6.5 goals per game in their last meetings, like two kids arguing over the last Oreo.

Key stats? Dallas’ offense is a well-oiled espresso machine (3.3 goals per game, sixth in the NHL), while their defense is tighter than a goalie’s grip on a save. The Isles, meanwhile, are the hockey equivalent of a leaky faucet—3.2 goals scored, 19th in goals allowed, and a +1 goal differential that’s about as impressive as a penguin’s attempt at math.

Injury Report: Dallas’ Absences Are Less Dramatic Than a Netflix Plot Twist
Dallas is missing Jamie Benn and Matt Duchene, but they’re returning soon. Think of it as a temporary loan to the “Injured Reserve” Netflix series—suspenseful, but not fatal. The Isles are without Semyon Varlamov, which is like asking a toaster to play piano. Their backup goalie, Ilya Sorokin, has a .898 save percentage—good, but not great, like a “meh” emoji during a playoff series.

The News: Stars Shine, Islanders Drift
Dallas’ recent 5-1 drubbing of the Flyers was so one-sided, the Flyers’ coach reportedly asked for a mercy rule… and got a lecture about hydration instead. The Stars’ power play is a beast (22 goals in the season), while their defense has allowed 2.2 goals per game in their last 10—the Isles, by contrast, let in 2.7.

The Isles’ lone silver lining? Their 6-4-1 road record. But let’s be real: playing on the road is like trying to build a snowman in Texas—possible, but not ideal.

Same-Game Parlay Pick: Stars ML + Over 6 Goals
Why? Dallas’ offense is hot enough to melt a Zamboni, and the Isles’ defense is porous enough to let a toddler score. Combine Robertson’s recent form (9 goals in 10 games) with New York’s leaky backline, and you’ve got a recipe for chaos. The Over 6 goals (-110 to +110 depending on bookmaker) is a no-brainer, given the teams’ combined average of 6.5 goals per game.

Implied Probability Check:
- Stars ML (-168): 62.1% chance to win.
- Over 6 Goals (1.88 odds): ~51.3% implied probability.
Combined, this parlay has a ~31.8% implied chance (62.1% * 51.3%), but the payout is juicy enough to make even a risk-averse pensioner take a sip of the betting Kool-Aid.

Final Prediction: Dallas 4, New York 2 (Over 6 Goals)
The Stars’ depth and power-play prowess will overwhelm the Isles’ sieve-like defense. Expect Robertson to add another multi-goal game, and maybe even a hat trick for good measure. The Isles’ only hope is a Sorokin superhero performance… but even Superman can’t fix a team that allows 3.2 goals per game.

In Conclusion: Bet on Dallas and the Over, unless you enjoy watching the Isles’ defense try to solve a Rubik’s Cube blindfolded. The Stars are the NHL’s version of a loaded cannon—point it in the right direction, and boom.

“Predictions are hard, especially about the future. But this one? Easy as a slapshot to the net.” — Your Humble Handicapper, quoting Groucho Marx and a defenceman’s slapshot.

Created: Nov. 18, 2025, 5:54 a.m. GMT