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Parlay: New York Knicks VS Charlotte Hornets 2025-11-26

Knicks vs. Hornets: A Low-Energy Showdown with High Stakes

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a game that’s like a Netflix password shared between two roommates who both forgot to pay the bill: nobody wins, but everyone’s technically still watching. The New York Knicks (10-6) take on the Charlotte Hornets (4-13) in a NBA Cup Group Play match that’s less of a “showdown” and more of a “showdown if ‘showdown’ had a part-time job and a nap schedule.” Let’s break it down with the precision of a TSA agent and the humor of a dad joke.

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Parsing the Odds: Why This Feels Like a Math Test
The Knicks are favored at -290 on the moneyline, implying a 74.4% implied probability of winning. Meanwhile, the Hornets’ +235 line suggests bookmakers think they’ve got a 29.3% chance—about the same odds as me correctly spelling “defense” after a Red Bull-fueled all-nighter. The spread is Knicks -7.5, but let’s be real: New York’s road struggles (114.4 offensive rating) make this line look like a magician’s rabbit—there’s a trick here we’re not seeing.

The total is set at 236.5, with the under priced at -112. Why? Because the Knicks’ last road game ended with the under hitting, and the Hornets’ home games have seen the under cash in 5 of 8 games. It’s like these teams signed a contract saying, “Let’s not embarrass ourselves too much.”

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Injury Report: A Cast of Thousands (Minus the Cast)
The Knicks are missing OG Anunoby (MVP-caliber defender turned “mystery meat” due to injury) and Landry Shamet (a 3-point specialist who’s now a spectator). Without Anunoby, their defense is like a Wi-Fi router during a blackout—functional in theory, useless in practice.

The Hornets? They’ve got more injured players than a yoga class on a flu day. Pat Connaughton, Josh Green, and Tidjane Salaun are all out, leaving Charlotte’s roster looking like a “Where’s Waldo?” page for active players. Their net rating is 21st in the league, and their offensive rating is 17th—which is basketball code for “we’re here, we’re alive, and we’re not great at basketball.”

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Same-Game Parlay: The Under and Brunson’s 3-Point Over
Here’s your winning combo: UNDER 236.5 TOTAL POINTS (-112) + Jalen Brunson OVER 3-Pointers Made (3.5, at +120).

Why? The Knicks’ offense is a well-oiled machine (120.3 PPG, 2nd in the NBA), but their road offensive rating plummets to 114.4—like a food critic who suddenly can’t find a fork. The Hornets, meanwhile, are the NBA’s worst at defending 3-pointers (41.1% opponent 3P%). Brunson, who averages 7.8 3PA per game and hits 36.7%, is a one-man fireworks show against Charlotte’s sieve-like defense.

The under? Let’s math it out. The Knicks’ road offensive rating (114.4) vs. the Hornets’ 23rd-ranked defense (120.4 PPG allowed) creates a “low-scoring thriller” like a silent movie where nothing happens. Add in Charlotte’s 116.2 PPG offense (20th) and New York’s second-ranked defense, and you’ve got a game that’s more “budget-friendly” than “buzzer-beater.”

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Prediction: The Hornets’ Net Will Stay Quiet
The Knicks will win this game, but not by the 7.5 points the spread suggests. Their road struggles and the Hornets’ injury-riddled roster mean this will be a low-scoring, defensive tug-of-war. The under 236.5 is a lock, and Brunson’s 3-point over is a sneaky value.

Final Pick: Under 236.5 Total Points (-112) + Jalen Brunson Over 3-Pointers Made (3.5, +120).

Why? Because in a game where both teams are playing with one hand tied behind their backs (and the other hand texting), the only sure thing is that the scoreboard won’t explode. And if Brunson can’t hit 4 threes? Well, even a blind squirrel finds an acorn sometimes.

Bet it like you’re buying insurance for your Netflix password: cautiously, but with hope. 🏀🔥

Created: Nov. 26, 2025, 9:55 p.m. GMT