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Parlay: New York Knicks VS Dallas Mavericks 2025-11-19

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Knicks vs. Mavericks: A Parlay for the Ages
The New York Knicks (8-5) and Dallas Mavericks (4-11) clash on Wednesday in Dallas, and if you’re looking for a same-game parlay that’s as solid as a well-timed dunk, here’s your blueprint. Let’s break it down with the precision of a point guard and the humor of a comedian who’s seen too many bad three-pointers.


Parse the Odds: Numbers Don’t Lie (Mostly)
The Knicks are a -5.5-point road favorite across nearly all books, with moneyline odds hovering around 1.44 (decimal), implying a 71.4% chance to win. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are priced at +2.85, suggesting bookmakers see them as a 26.7% shot to pull off the upset. The total is set at 228.5 points, with the Over and Under priced between 1.89-1.93, implying a 51-52% implied probability for either side.

Key stats? The Knicks are a three-pointing machine, averaging 16.2 makes per game (2nd in the NBA) and scoring 121.4 PPG. The Mavericks? They’re the NBA’s worst in three-pointers made (10.5 per game) and second-worst in three-point percentage (31%). Their scoring differential (-104) is as appetizing as a stale basketball-shaped cracker.


Digest the News: Injuries, Trades, and GM Firings, Oh My!
The Mavericks are a hot mess. Luka Dončić was traded to the Lakers? Check. Anthony Davis and Kyrie Irving are injured? Check. Their GM, Nico Harrison, was fired? Check. It’s like a reality TV show where the only winner is the opposing team.

The Knicks? They’re 0-4 on the road this season, losing by an average of 7.5 points. But hey, they’ve got Miles McBride, who dropped 25 points in their last loss. He’s like a toaster that occasionally sparks but still toasts your bread. The Mavericks’ Jaden Hardy had 17 points, 0 assists, and 3 turnovers in their 24-point drubbing by the Timberwolves. If he’s the Mavericks’ offensive spark, they’re lighting a candle in a hurricane.


Humorous Spin: When Math Meets Mayhem
Let’s be real: The Mavericks’ offense is a broken sprinkler system—it wets the field but accomplishes nothing. Their defense? A porous colander that lets the Knicks’ three-pointers pour through unimpeded. The Knicks’ road struggles are like a tourist in Manhattan who insists on navigating via “left, right, left, right”—eventually, they’ll find the right path.

And don’t forget the Knicks’ 63.6% win rate when favored. That’s better than your chances of finding a taxi in Times Square during a blackout. The Mavericks’ home court? It’s a dumpster fire that somehow still expects you to throw in another log.


Prediction: The Parlay Playbook
Best Same-Game Parlay:
1. New York Knicks Moneyline (-5.5)
2. Over 228.5 Total Points

Why? The Knicks’ offense is a machine gun (121.4 PPG) facing a Mavericks defense that’s a screen door (117.2 PPG allowed). Even on the road, the Knicks’ three-point prowess (+11.2% better than the Mavs’) and Dallas’ offensive futility (-104 differential) make this a high-octane shootout. The Over is a lock if the Knicks avoid their usual road jitters (they’ll score 115+), and the Mavs’ offense, which averages 110.3 PPG, will likely crack 114.

Implied Probability Check:
- Knicks win: 71.4%
- Over 228.5: 52.3%
Combined, this parlay has a 37.3% implied chance, but the line (approx. +175) suggests bookmakers price it at 36.4%—a slight edge for bettors.

Final Verdict: Bet the Knicks to end their road woes and the Over to light up American Airlines Center like a Christmas tree. If Dallas wins, send them a thank-you note and a box of three-point shot blockers.

Final Line: Knicks win 118-110, Over 228.5. The Mavericks will thank them later.

Created: Nov. 19, 2025, 8:10 a.m. GMT