Create Predictions

Parlay: New York Mets VS Philadelphia Phillies 2025-06-22

Best Same Game Parlay: Phillies to Win + Over 9.5 Runs
Odds: 3.78 (1.89 x 2.0)
Stake: $100 → Potential Payout: $378

Why This Parlay?
1. Phillies to Win (Moneyline):
- Odds: +100 (DraftKings, 1.89)
- Rationale: The Phillies are on an 8-2 run and hold the NL East lead. Their offense (2nd in MLB in runs per game) exploits the Mets’ struggling pitching (29th in ERA). Mets starter Griffin Canning has a 5.40 ERA in his last 5 starts.

2. Over 9.5 Runs (Total):
- Odds: +100 (FanDuel, 2.0)
- Rationale: The Phillies average 5.8 runs per game, while the Mets allow 5.2. Canning’s 5.40 ERA and the Mets’ 5.38 team ERA suggest a high-scoring affair. The "Over" is priced at +100, offering value given the matchup.

Key Stats:
- Phillies Offense vs. Mets Pitching:
- Phillies rank 2nd in MLB in runs per game (5.8).
- Mets rank 29th in ERA (5.38) and 28th in batting average (.231).
- Canning’s Struggles:
- 5.40 ERA in 5 starts since May 1.
- Opponents are hitting .265 against him.

Avoid the Spread:
While the Phillies are +1.5 underdogs, their recent form and the Mets’ seven-game losing streak make the spread a riskier play. Stick with the win + over combo for a safer, higher-reward parlay.

Final Note:
This parlay hinges on the Phillies’ explosive offense and the Mets’ porous pitching. If you’re feeling bold, add Pete Alonso to hit a home run (+300) for a 3-leg parlay (odds: ~12.0), but the 2-leg play is the most balanced.

Play Now: DraftKings (Phillies ML) + FanDuel (Over 9.5).

Created: June 21, 2025, 8:28 p.m. GMT